Stats Prediction
Result probability
89%
Borussia Dortmund 89%
Draw 7%
Hertha Berlin 4%
4.0 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
8% chance
Most Likely Score
87%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Borussia Dortmund · at home
Hertha Berlin · away
3.13
Goals scored per game
0.75
1.69
Goals conceded per game
2.25
1.77x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.55x
1.24x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.28x
Average: 1.76 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in DE League 2021-2022
Based on 33 + 33 DE League 2021-2022 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Confirmed
3-4-2-1
Official lineup
82'
83'
46'
68'90'
Substitutes
46'
82'
83'84'
90'
Coach
Confirmed
4-2-3-1
Official lineup
66'
65'
56'
66'88'
46'
18'
Substitutes
46'
56'
65'88'
88'
88'
Coach
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
78%
11%
11%
Borussia Dortmund wins 7
Draws 1
Hertha Berlin wins 1
Goals 22 (2.44 per game)
Goals 11 (1.22 per game)
78%
7
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 9
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
Points on these 5
25 of 30 · 2.50 per game
15 of 30 · 1.50 per game
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
D
W
W
D
2.00
21-3-9
PPG Overall
2.25
12-0-4
PPG at Home
1.76
9-3-5
PPG Away
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
1.00
9-6-18
PPG Overall
1.24
6-3-8
PPG at Home
0.75
3-3-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund at home +200% on points per game vs Hertha Berlin away (2.25 vs 0.75)
Rest & Schedule
147
days rest
Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
147
days rest
VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
33
16
17
Win %
64%
75%
53%
Goals per game
4.06
4.81
3.35
Scored
2.52
3.13
1.94
Conceded
1.55
1.69
1.41
Both teams scored
76%
75%
76%
Clean sheets
21%
25%
18%
Failed to score
3%
0%
6%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
33
17
16
Win %
27%
35%
19%
Goals per game
3.18
3.35
3.00
Scored
1.09
1.41
0.75
Conceded
2.09
1.94
2.25
Both teams scored
61%
76%
44%
Clean sheets
18%
24%
13%
Failed to score
24%
0%
50%
DE League 2021-2022 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 33/33
97% 32/33
98%
–
Over 1.5
91% 30/33
91% 30/33
91%
83%
Over 2.5
76% 25/33
64% 21/33
70%
58%
Over 3.5
58% 19/33
36% 12/33
47%
39%
Over 4.5
42% 14/33
21% 7/33
32%
–
Under 2.5
24% 8/33
36% 12/33
30%
42%
Both teams score
BTTS
76% 25/33
61% 20/33
68%
61%
BTTS & win
42% 14/33
12% 4/33
27%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
67% 22/33
48% 16/33
58%
–
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 30/33
82% 27/33
86%
–
Over 1.5
55% 18/33
36% 12/33
45%
–
Over 2.5
21% 7/33
9% 3/33
15%
–
BTTS
27% 9/33
12% 4/33
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = DE League 2021-2022 (305 games, 3.12 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.13 at home
0.75 away
Borussia Dortmund scored 50 in 16 home games
Hertha Berlin scored 12 in 16 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
Scored over 0.5
97% 32/33
76% 25/33
Scored over 1.5
70% 23/33
24% 8/33
Scored over 2.5
48% 16/33
9% 3/33
Failed to score
3% 1/33
24% 8/33
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.69 at home
2.25 away
Borussia Dortmund conceded 27 in 16 home games
Hertha Berlin conceded 36 in 16 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
Conceded over 0.5
79% 26/33
82% 27/33
Conceded over 1.5
42% 14/33
61% 20/33
Conceded over 2.5
21% 7/33
30% 10/33
Clean sheets
21% 7/33
18% 6/33
Streaks
1
Won last game
27
Scored in a row
4
Conceded in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
4
Longest win run this season
2
Without a win last win 3 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Hertha Berlin
HER
League
Corners
Corners won
4.97
4.24
–
Corners conceded
4.65
5.79
–
Match total
9.61
10.03
9.83
Over 8.5
71% 22/31
70% 23/33
–
Over 9.5
58% 18/31
61% 20/33
–
Over 10.5
32% 10/31
52% 17/33
–
Cards
Cards
1.91
1.88
–
Opponent cards
2.03
1.42
–
Match total
3.94
3.30
3.56
Over 3.5
58% 19/33
45% 15/33
–
Over 4.5
42% 14/33
15% 5/33
–
Shots
Shots
13.48
11.00
–
Opponent shots
11.12
13.79
–
Match total
24.61
24.79
25.96
Shots on target
On target
5.50
3.45
–
Opponent on target
4.19
5.58
–
Match total
9.69
9.03
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.70
12.27
–
Opponent fouls
12.18
13.39
–
Match total
22.88
25.67
–
Possession
All games
59%
44%
–
Home games
61%
45%
–
Away games
57%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = DE League 2021-2022 (305 games) · DE League 2021-2022 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 83
9%
17%
17%
17%
17%
23%
Conceded · 51
17%
14%
16%
14%
12%
27%
Hertha Berlin
Scored · 36
8%
3%
25%
25%
20%
19%
Conceded · 69
7%
19%
16%
17%
15%
26%
67%
Scored first
41%
23%
Goals after 75'
19%
Scored first: Borussia Dortmund 22 of 33, Hertha Berlin 13 of 32 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · DE League 2021-2022 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
45%24%30%
Leading 15
Level 8
Trailing 10
1.61
points per game
At half-time
87%
13 of 15
Led at HT, won
30%
3 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 362nd 47
At half-time
24%24%52%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 17
0.97
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
12%
2 of 17
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 23
10
Points won from losing positions in 13 · 21 games
7
13
Points dropped from winning positions in 26 · 15 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · DE League 2021-2022 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
24
5
5
97
37
60
77
2
21
3
9
83
51
32
66
3
19
7
8
80
47
33
64
4
17
7
10
72
37
35
58
···
13
12
6
16
43
54
-11
42
14
10
8
16
39
56
-17
38
15
9
6
18
36
69
-33
33
16
7
12
15
41
59
-18
33
17
5
13
16
27
53
-26
28
···
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