Stats Prediction
Result probability
77%
14%
9%
Monaco 77%
Draw 14%
Lorient 9%
2.6 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
65%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Monaco · at home
LOR · away
1.70
Goals scored per game
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded per game
2.20
1.19x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
0.84x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.53x
Average: 1.43 home goals and 1.07 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2023-2024
Based on 20 + 20 Ligue 1 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Metz (A) 1-2 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Monaco wins 1
Draws 2
Lorient wins 0
Goals 7 (2.33 per game)
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Monaco Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
W
W
L
D
W
1.75
10-5-5
PPG Overall
1.90
6-1-3
PPG at Home
1.60
4-4-2
PPG Away
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
0.80
3-7-10
PPG Overall
1.00
2-4-4
PPG at Home
0.60
1-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Monaco at home +217% on points per game vs Lorient away (1.90 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
42
days rest
Monaco 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
42
days rest
Metz 1-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
50%
60%
40%
Goals per game
3.25
2.60
3.90
Scored
1.85
1.70
2.00
Conceded
1.40
0.90
1.90
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
25%
40%
10%
Failed to score
20%
20%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
20
10
10
Win %
15%
20%
10%
Goals per game
3.40
3.70
3.10
Scored
1.30
1.70
0.90
Conceded
2.10
2.00
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
10%
10%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Monaco
MON
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
95% 19/20
90% 18/20
93%
–
Over 1.5
85% 17/20
80% 16/20
83%
72%
Over 2.5
65% 13/20
70% 14/20
68%
48%
Over 3.5
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
40%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 4/20
30% 6/20
25%
–
Under 2.5
35% 7/20
30% 6/20
33%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 12/20
60% 12/20
60%
49%
BTTS & win
30% 6/20
15% 3/20
23%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
53%
–
Monaco
MON
Lorient
LOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 15/20
65% 13/20
70%
–
Over 1.5
55% 11/20
50% 10/20
53%
–
Over 2.5
30% 6/20
25% 5/20
28%
–
BTTS
40% 8/20
40% 8/20
40%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games, 2.51 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.70 at home
0.90 away
Monaco scored 17 in 10 home games
Lorient scored 9 in 10 away games
Monaco
MON
Lorient
LOR
Scored over 0.5
80% 16/20
60% 12/20
Scored over 1.5
70% 14/20
45% 9/20
Scored over 2.5
30% 6/20
20% 4/20
Failed to score
20% 4/20
40% 8/20
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.90 at home
2.20 away
Monaco conceded 9 in 10 home games
Lorient conceded 22 in 10 away games
Monaco
MON
Lorient
LOR
Conceded over 0.5
75% 15/20
90% 18/20
Conceded over 1.5
40% 8/20
55% 11/20
Conceded over 2.5
15% 3/20
45% 9/20
Clean sheets
25% 5/20
10% 2/20
Streaks
Match Totals
Monaco
MON
Lorient
LOR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.85
3.89
–
Corners conceded
4.10
5.61
–
Match total
9.95
9.50
9.45
Over 8.5
65% 13/20
50% 9/18
–
Over 9.5
60% 12/20
39% 7/18
–
Over 10.5
40% 8/20
33% 6/18
–
Cards
Cards
2.70
2.05
–
Opponent cards
1.75
1.80
–
Match total
4.45
3.85
3.98
Over 3.5
65% 13/20
55% 11/20
–
Over 4.5
50% 10/20
40% 8/20
–
Shots
Shots
14.65
8.95
–
Opponent shots
10.85
15.80
–
Match total
25.50
24.75
25.14
Shots on target
On target
6.16
3.94
–
Opponent on target
4.53
6.50
–
Match total
10.68
10.44
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.85
12.35
–
Opponent fouls
12.00
13.10
–
Match total
26.85
25.45
–
Possession
All games
54%
46%
–
Home games
57%
46%
–
Away games
51%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2023-2024 (180 games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Monaco
Scored · 37
8%
24%
19%
24%
14%
11%
Conceded · 28
25%
7%
18%
18%
11%
21%
Lorient
Scored · 26
23%
12%
12%
19%
11%
23%
Conceded · 42
12%
21%
14%
12%
17%
24%
42%
Scored first
33%
11%
Goals after 75'
23%
Scored first: Monaco 8 of 19, Lorient 6 of 18 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%40%20%
Leading 8
Level 8
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
88%
7 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 18
At half-time
15%55%30%
Leading 3
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
1 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
14
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 15 games
5
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 8 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
···
3
10
6
4
29
17
12
36
4
9
8
3
28
14
14
35
5
10
5
5
37
28
9
35
6
9
5
6
24
19
5
32
7
9
3
8
27
27
0
30
···
14
5
4
11
20
33
-13
19
15
5
4
11
20
31
-11
19
16
3
7
10
26
42
-16
16
17
4
4
12
17
31
-14
16
18
3
6
11
14
32
-18
15
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