Stats Prediction
Result probability
11%
29%
60%
Bologna 11%
Draw 29%
Inter 60%
0.4 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
23% chance
Most Likely Score
25%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Inter · away
1.64
Goals scored per game
2.27
0.64
Goals conceded per game
0.36
1.12x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.08x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.25x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 22 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sassuolo (H) 4-2 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Juventus (H) 1-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
10%
50%
Bologna wins 4
Draws 1
Inter wins 5
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 22 (2.20 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Bologna Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
W
D
W
1.64
9-9-4
PPG Overall
2.36
8-2-1
PPG at Home
0.91
1-7-3
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
2.59
18-3-1
PPG Overall
2.55
9-1-1
PPG at Home
2.64
9-2-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter away +12% on points per game vs Bologna at home (2.64 vs 2.36)
Rest & Schedule
36
days rest
Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
35
days rest
Inter 1-0 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
41%
73%
9%
Goals per game
2.32
2.27
2.36
Scored
1.32
1.64
1.00
Conceded
1.00
0.64
1.36
Both teams scored
55%
36%
73%
Clean sheets
36%
55%
18%
Failed to score
23%
18%
27%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
82%
82%
82%
Goals per game
2.77
2.91
2.64
Scored
2.32
2.36
2.27
Conceded
0.45
0.55
0.36
Both teams scored
36%
36%
36%
Clean sheets
64%
64%
64%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 19/22
100% 22/22
93%
–
Over 1.5
77% 17/22
82% 18/22
80%
74%
Over 2.5
45% 10/22
50% 11/22
48%
50%
Over 3.5
14% 3/22
27% 6/22
20%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/22
7%
–
Under 2.5
55% 12/22
50% 11/22
52%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
55% 12/22
36% 8/22
45%
51%
BTTS & win
18% 4/22
18% 4/22
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 8/22
27% 6/22
32%
–
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
68% 15/22
82% 18/22
75%
–
Over 1.5
41% 9/22
32% 7/22
36%
–
Over 2.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/22
9%
–
BTTS
27% 6/22
14% 3/22
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.64 at home
2.27 away
Bologna scored 18 in 11 home games
Inter scored 25 in 11 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Scored over 0.5
77% 17/22
100% 22/22
Scored over 1.5
41% 9/22
68% 15/22
Scored over 2.5
9% 2/22
32% 7/22
Failed to score
23% 5/22
0% 0/22
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.64 at home
0.36 away
Bologna conceded 7 in 11 home games
Inter conceded 4 in 11 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Conceded over 0.5
64% 14/22
36% 8/22
Conceded over 1.5
32% 7/22
9% 2/22
Conceded over 2.5
5% 1/22
0% 0/22
Clean sheets
36% 8/22
64% 14/22
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
League
Corners
Corners won
4.10
5.89
–
Corners conceded
4.80
4.39
–
Match total
8.90
10.28
9.77
Over 8.5
45% 9/20
72% 13/18
–
Over 9.5
30% 6/20
61% 11/18
–
Over 10.5
25% 5/20
44% 8/18
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
1.41
–
Opponent cards
3.41
2.09
–
Match total
5.91
3.50
4.69
Over 3.5
91% 20/22
55% 12/22
–
Over 4.5
68% 15/22
27% 6/22
–
Shots
Shots
11.95
15.73
–
Opponent shots
10.86
10.23
–
Match total
22.82
25.95
25.17
Shots on target
On target
4.27
5.23
–
Opponent on target
3.36
2.77
–
Match total
7.64
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.23
11.27
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
10.77
–
Match total
25.36
22.05
–
Possession
All games
58%
55%
–
Home games
58%
57%
–
Away games
57%
54%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 29
7%
31%
7%
17%
10%
28%
Conceded · 22
18%
23%
18%
14%
14%
13%
Inter
Scored · 51
16%
6%
25%
14%
12%
27%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
10%
30%
40%
0%
63%
Scored first
95%
28%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Bologna 12 of 19, Inter 21 of 22 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
23%50%27%
Leading 5
Level 11
Trailing 6
1.18
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
67%
4 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 16
At half-time
73%27%
Leading 16
Level 6
Trailing 0
2.45
points per game
At half-time
88%
14 of 16
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 242nd 27
9
Points won from losing positions in 9 · 2 games
1
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 21 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
6
▼
9
9
4
29
22
7
36
7
10
5
7
32
26
6
35
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
···
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