Stats Prediction
Result probability
40%
28%
32%
Torino 40%
Draw 28%
AC Milan 32%
1.2 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
13% chance
Most Likely Score
41%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Torino · at home
AC Milan · away
1.09
Goals scored per game
2.17
0.55
Goals conceded per game
1.67
0.75x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.98x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.14x
Average: 1.46 home goals and 1.09 away goals per game in Serie A 2023-2024
Based on 22 + 23 Serie A 2023-2024 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Salernitana (H) 0-0 · 4 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Frosinone (A) 2-3 · 3 Feb 2024
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
10%
70%
Torino wins 2
Draws 1
AC Milan wins 7
Goals 7 (0.70 per game)
Goals 22 (2.20 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
60%
6
of 10
AC Milan Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
1.45
8-8-6
PPG Overall
1.82
5-5-1
PPG at Home
1.09
3-3-5
PPG Away
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
2.13
15-4-4
PPG Overall
2.27
8-1-2
PPG at Home
2.00
7-3-2
PPG Away
Venue form: AC Milan away +10% on points per game vs Torino at home (2.00 vs 1.82)
Rest & Schedule
105
days rest
Torino 0-0 Salernitana
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
106
days rest
Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
22
11
11
Win %
36%
45%
27%
Goals per game
1.77
1.64
1.91
Scored
0.91
1.09
0.73
Conceded
0.86
0.55
1.18
Both teams scored
27%
27%
27%
Clean sheets
50%
64%
36%
Failed to score
45%
36%
55%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
23
11
12
Win %
65%
73%
58%
Goals per game
3.17
2.45
3.83
Scored
2.00
1.82
2.17
Conceded
1.17
0.64
1.67
Both teams scored
57%
36%
75%
Clean sheets
35%
45%
25%
Failed to score
9%
18%
0%
Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Torino
TOR
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 17/22
100% 23/23
89%
–
Over 1.5
59% 13/22
74% 17/23
67%
74%
Over 2.5
32% 7/22
65% 15/23
49%
50%
Over 3.5
5% 1/22
52% 12/23
28%
24%
Over 4.5
5% 1/22
22% 5/23
13%
–
Under 2.5
68% 15/22
35% 8/23
51%
50%
Both teams score
BTTS
27% 6/22
57% 13/23
42%
51%
BTTS & win
9% 2/22
30% 7/23
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 3/22
57% 13/23
35%
–
Torino
TOR
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
36% 8/22
78% 18/23
57%
–
Over 1.5
18% 4/22
57% 13/23
37%
–
Over 2.5
5% 1/22
9% 2/23
7%
–
BTTS
9% 2/22
30% 7/23
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games, 2.55 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.09 at home
2.17 away
Torino scored 12 in 11 home games
AC Milan scored 26 in 12 away games
Torino
TOR
AC Milan
AC
Scored over 0.5
55% 12/22
91% 21/23
Scored over 1.5
23% 5/22
70% 16/23
Scored over 2.5
14% 3/22
35% 8/23
Failed to score
45% 10/22
9% 2/23
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.55 at home
1.67 away
Torino conceded 6 in 11 home games
AC Milan conceded 20 in 12 away games
Torino
TOR
AC Milan
AC
Conceded over 0.5
50% 11/22
65% 15/23
Conceded over 1.5
23% 5/22
35% 8/23
Conceded over 2.5
9% 2/22
9% 2/23
Clean sheets
50% 11/22
35% 8/23
Streaks
Match Totals
Torino
TOR
AC Milan
AC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.65
4.68
–
Corners conceded
3.50
4.23
–
Match total
8.15
8.91
9.77
Over 8.5
50% 10/20
55% 12/22
–
Over 9.5
50% 10/20
41% 9/22
–
Over 10.5
35% 7/20
32% 7/22
–
Cards
Cards
2.18
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.18
2.52
–
Match total
4.36
5.09
4.69
Over 3.5
64% 14/22
74% 17/23
–
Over 4.5
45% 10/22
57% 13/23
–
Shots
Shots
10.73
13.48
–
Opponent shots
10.86
14.09
–
Match total
21.59
27.57
25.17
Shots on target
On target
3.38
5.04
–
Opponent on target
3.81
4.13
–
Match total
7.19
9.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.91
11.39
–
Opponent fouls
10.91
11.35
–
Match total
22.82
22.74
–
Possession
All games
52%
56%
–
Home games
55%
53%
–
Away games
49%
60%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2023-2024 (226 games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Torino
Scored · 20
10%
15%
25%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 19
0%
5%
16%
21%
32%
26%
AC Milan
Scored · 46
13%
11%
30%
15%
7%
24%
Conceded · 27
4%
11%
19%
7%
37%
22%
53%
Scored first
74%
20%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Torino 9 of 17, AC Milan 17 of 23 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
27%68%5%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 1
1.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 10
At half-time
52%43%4%
Leading 12
Level 10
Trailing 1
2.00
points per game
At half-time
83%
10 of 12
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 252nd 21
2
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 9 games
11
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 19 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2023-2024 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
1
51
10
41
57
2
16
5
2
36
14
22
53
3
15
4
4
46
27
19
49
4
▲
12
3
7
40
22
18
39
5
▼
11
5
7
40
26
14
38
···
8
▲
10
4
8
25
23
2
34
9
▼
10
4
8
31
25
6
34
10
▲
8
8
6
20
19
1
32
11
▼
7
8
8
21
28
-7
29
12
▲
7
8
8
24
26
-2
29
···
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