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17 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
21%
13%
Lorient 66%
Draw 21%
LE Havre 13%
1.9 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
50%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LOR · at home
HAV · away
1.94
Goals scored per game
0.63
1.44
Goals conceded per game
1.63
1.20x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.51x
1.18x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.01x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 32 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Paris Saint Germain (A) 2-2 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lille (A) 1-1 · 3 May 2026
13
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Lorient wins 0
Draws 2
LE Havre wins 1
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 7 (2.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lorient Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
LE Havre Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
Points on these 5
8 of 27 · 0.89 per game
10 of 30 · 1.00 per game
Form & Points per Game
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
D
L
W
D
D
D
1.31
10-12-10
PPG Overall
1.88
8-6-2
PPG at Home
0.75
2-6-8
PPG Away
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
L
D
L
L
L
1.00
6-14-12
PPG Overall
1.44
5-8-3
PPG at Home
0.56
1-6-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Lorient at home +236% on points per game vs LE Havre away (1.88 vs 0.56)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Lorient
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
14
days rest
Lille 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
31%
50%
13%
Goals per game
2.91
3.38
2.44
Scored
1.38
1.94
0.81
Conceded
1.53
1.44
1.63
Both teams scored
56%
75%
38%
Clean sheets
19%
25%
13%
Failed to score
28%
0%
56%
xG
1.33
1.59
1.06
xGA
1.30
1.08
1.51
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
19%
31%
6%
Goals per game
2.28
2.31
2.25
Scored
0.94
1.25
0.63
Conceded
1.34
1.06
1.63
Both teams scored
53%
63%
44%
Clean sheets
22%
25%
19%
Failed to score
41%
31%
50%
xG
1.08
1.20
0.96
xGA
1.49
1.20
1.78
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
97% 31/32
84% 27/32
91%
–
Over 1.5
88% 28/32
63% 20/32
75%
72%
Over 2.5
44% 14/32
34% 11/32
39%
53%
Over 3.5
34% 11/32
19% 6/32
27%
33%
Over 4.5
13% 4/32
9% 3/32
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 18/32
66% 21/32
61%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 18/32
53% 17/32
55%
51%
BTTS & win
16% 5/32
13% 4/32
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
34% 11/32
31% 10/32
33%
–
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 22/32
66% 21/32
67%
–
Over 1.5
22% 7/32
34% 11/32
28%
–
Over 2.5
16% 5/32
9% 3/32
13%
–
BTTS
16% 5/32
28% 9/32
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.94 at home
0.63 away
Lorient scored 31 in 16 home games
LE Havre scored 10 in 16 away games
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
Scored over 0.5
72% 23/32
59% 19/32
Scored over 1.5
44% 14/32
25% 8/32
Scored over 2.5
19% 6/32
6% 2/32
Failed to score
28% 9/32
41% 13/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.44 at home
1.63 away
Lorient conceded 23 in 16 home games
LE Havre conceded 26 in 16 away games
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
Conceded over 0.5
81% 26/32
78% 25/32
Conceded over 1.5
38% 12/32
28% 9/32
Conceded over 2.5
19% 6/32
16% 5/32
Clean sheets
19% 6/32
22% 7/32
Streaks
Match Totals
Lorient
LOR
LE Havre
HAV
League
Corners
Corners won
3.53
4.43
–
Corners conceded
5.23
5.00
–
Match total
8.77
9.43
9.49
Over 8.5
47% 14/30
60% 18/30
–
Over 9.5
43% 13/30
47% 14/30
–
Over 10.5
30% 9/30
37% 11/30
–
Cards
Cards
1.59
2.03
–
Opponent cards
2.22
2.13
–
Match total
3.81
4.16
3.97
Over 3.5
53% 17/32
69% 22/32
–
Over 4.5
38% 12/32
34% 11/32
–
Shots
Shots
10.88
10.84
–
Opponent shots
11.25
12.88
–
Match total
22.13
23.72
24.23
Shots on target
On target
3.78
3.77
–
Opponent on target
4.00
4.40
–
Match total
7.78
8.17
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.53
13.34
–
Opponent fouls
13.28
13.84
–
Match total
22.81
27.19
–
Possession
All games
45%
47%
–
Home games
45%
47%
–
Away games
45%
47%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lorient
Scored · 44
9%
14%
20%
18%
16%
23%
Conceded · 49
12%
12%
8%
23%
12%
33%
LE Havre
Scored · 30
13%
13%
17%
17%
20%
20%
Conceded · 43
14%
14%
25%
12%
14%
21%
48%
Scored first
41%
23%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Lorient 15 of 31, LE Havre 11 of 27 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
41%38%22%
Leading 13
Level 12
Trailing 7
1.59
points per game
At half-time
69%
9 of 13
Led at HT, won
43%
3 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 25
At half-time
9%56%34%
Leading 3
Level 18
Trailing 11
0.84
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
27%
3 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 17
10
Points won from losing positions in 18 · 17 games
5
13
Points dropped from winning positions in 16 · 11 games
11
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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