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17 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
64%
22%
14%
Stade Brestois 29 64%
Draw 22%
Angers 14%
1.8 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
45%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BRE · at home
ANG · away
1.73
Goals scored per game
0.63
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.69
1.07x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.51x
1.09x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.04x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 31 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Paris FC (A) 4-0 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Auxerre (A) 3-1 · 3 May 2026
7
Substitutes
23
42
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
100%
Stade Brestois 29 wins 3
Draws 0
Angers wins 0
Goals 9 (3.00 per game)
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Angers Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
Points on these 5
6 of 27 · 0.67 per game
13 of 30 · 1.30 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
W
W
W
D
1.23
10-8-13
PPG Overall
1.67
7-4-4
PPG at Home
0.81
3-4-9
PPG Away
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
W
L
L
1.06
9-7-16
PPG Overall
1.38
6-4-6
PPG at Home
0.75
3-3-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Stade Brestois 29 at home +123% on points per game vs Angers away (1.67 vs 0.75)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Paris FC 4-0 Stade Brestois 29
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
14
days rest
Auxerre 3-1 Angers
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
31
15
16
Win %
32%
47%
19%
Goals per game
2.97
3.07
2.88
Scored
1.32
1.73
0.94
Conceded
1.65
1.33
1.94
Both teams scored
45%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
29%
47%
13%
Failed to score
32%
27%
38%
xG
1.22
1.52
0.95
xGA
1.43
1.24
1.60
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
28%
38%
19%
Goals per game
2.28
2.25
2.31
Scored
0.84
1.06
0.63
Conceded
1.44
1.19
1.69
Both teams scored
38%
38%
38%
Clean sheets
31%
38%
25%
Failed to score
38%
31%
44%
xG
0.92
1.03
0.82
xGA
1.62
1.45
1.79
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 29/31
94% 30/32
94%
–
Over 1.5
84% 26/31
63% 20/32
73%
72%
Over 2.5
52% 16/31
31% 10/32
41%
53%
Over 3.5
32% 10/31
19% 6/32
26%
33%
Over 4.5
19% 6/31
13% 4/32
16%
–
Under 2.5
48% 15/31
69% 22/32
59%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
45% 14/31
38% 12/32
41%
51%
BTTS & win
10% 3/31
3% 1/32
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
39% 12/31
25% 8/32
32%
–
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
77% 24/31
69% 22/32
73%
–
Over 1.5
52% 16/31
19% 6/32
35%
–
Over 2.5
19% 6/31
6% 2/32
13%
–
BTTS
19% 6/31
6% 2/32
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.73 at home
0.63 away
Stade Brestois 29 scored 26 in 15 home games
Angers scored 10 in 16 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
Scored over 0.5
68% 21/31
63% 20/32
Scored over 1.5
42% 13/31
16% 5/32
Scored over 2.5
19% 6/31
3% 1/32
Failed to score
32% 10/31
38% 12/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.69 away
Stade Brestois 29 conceded 20 in 15 home games
Angers conceded 27 in 16 away games
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
Conceded over 0.5
71% 22/31
69% 22/32
Conceded over 1.5
55% 17/31
41% 13/32
Conceded over 2.5
32% 10/31
16% 5/32
Clean sheets
29% 9/31
31% 10/32
Streaks
6
Without a win last win 7 games ago
6
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run this season
7
Without a win last win 8 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Stade Brestois 29
BRE
Angers
ANG
League
Corners
Corners won
4.19
3.77
–
Corners conceded
5.48
4.97
–
Match total
9.67
8.74
9.49
Over 8.5
56% 15/27
48% 15/31
–
Over 9.5
52% 14/27
39% 12/31
–
Over 10.5
44% 12/27
19% 6/31
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
1.53
–
Opponent cards
1.87
1.31
–
Match total
3.87
2.84
3.97
Over 3.5
55% 17/31
41% 13/32
–
Over 4.5
42% 13/31
13% 4/32
–
Shots
Shots
10.74
9.06
–
Opponent shots
13.71
14.13
–
Match total
24.45
23.19
24.23
Shots on target
On target
3.34
3.20
–
Opponent on target
4.93
5.60
–
Match total
8.28
8.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.81
10.94
–
Opponent fouls
11.68
11.06
–
Match total
24.48
22.00
–
Possession
All games
43%
42%
–
Home games
43%
44%
–
Away games
43%
41%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Stade Brestois 29
Scored · 41
20%
15%
17%
17%
12%
19%
Conceded · 51
14%
21%
14%
10%
21%
20%
Angers
Scored · 27
4%
22%
7%
19%
11%
37%
Conceded · 46
15%
15%
20%
15%
26%
9%
52%
Scored first
33%
20%
Goals after 75'
37%
Scored first: Stade Brestois 29 15 of 29, Angers 10 of 30 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
32%26%42%
Leading 10
Level 8
Trailing 13
1.23
points per game
At half-time
60%
6 of 10
Led at HT, won
23%
3 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 212nd 20
At half-time
22%34%44%
Leading 7
Level 11
Trailing 14
1.00
points per game
At half-time
86%
6 of 7
Led at HT, won
14%
2 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 18
6
Points won from losing positions in 17 · 21 games
5
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 10 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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