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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
50%
29%
21%
Sassuolo 50%
Draw 29%
Lecce 21%
1.3 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
16% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Sassuolo · at home
Lecce · away
1.28
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.28
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.00x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.59x
1.14x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.04x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 36 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Torino (A) 2-1 · 8 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Juventus (H) 0-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
50%
50%
Sassuolo wins 3
Draws 3
Lecce wins 0
Goals 9 (1.50 per game)
Goals 5 (0.83 per game)
50%
3
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Both Teams Scored
50%
3
of 6
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
17%
1
of 6
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Points on these 5
13 of 30 · 1.30 per game
14 of 30 · 1.40 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
W
D
L
L
W
1.36
14-7-15
PPG Overall
1.61
9-2-7
PPG at Home
1.11
5-5-8
PPG Away
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
L
0.89
8-8-20
PPG Overall
0.94
4-5-9
PPG at Home
0.83
4-3-11
PPG Away
Venue form: Sassuolo at home +94% on points per game vs Lecce away (1.61 vs 0.83)
Rest & Schedule
9
days rest
Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
8
days rest
Lecce 0-1 Juventus
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
39%
50%
28%
Goals per game
2.50
2.56
2.44
Scored
1.22
1.28
1.17
Conceded
1.28
1.28
1.28
Both teams scored
53%
44%
61%
Clean sheets
22%
22%
22%
Failed to score
31%
33%
28%
xG
1.07
0.99
1.15
xGA
1.42
1.30
1.53
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
22%
22%
22%
Goals per game
2.00
2.00
2.00
Scored
0.67
0.67
0.67
Conceded
1.33
1.33
1.33
Both teams scored
36%
39%
33%
Clean sheets
25%
22%
28%
Failed to score
53%
56%
50%
xG
0.78
0.91
0.65
xGA
1.51
1.37
1.65
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 34/36
86% 31/36
90%
–
Over 1.5
75% 27/36
61% 22/36
68%
70%
Over 2.5
56% 20/36
36% 13/36
46%
45%
Over 3.5
19% 7/36
11% 4/36
15%
22%
Over 4.5
6% 2/36
6% 2/36
6%
–
Under 2.5
44% 16/36
64% 23/36
54%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
53% 19/36
36% 13/36
44%
45%
BTTS & win
22% 8/36
11% 4/36
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 16/36
31% 11/36
38%
–
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 27/36
58% 21/36
67%
–
Over 1.5
31% 11/36
19% 7/36
25%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/36
3% 1/36
4%
–
BTTS
17% 6/36
11% 4/36
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.28 at home
0.67 away
Sassuolo scored 23 in 18 home games
Lecce scored 12 in 18 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
69% 25/36
47% 17/36
Scored over 1.5
39% 14/36
19% 7/36
Scored over 2.5
14% 5/36
0% 0/36
Failed to score
31% 11/36
53% 19/36
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.28 at home
1.33 away
Sassuolo conceded 23 in 18 home games
Lecce conceded 24 in 18 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
78% 28/36
75% 27/36
Conceded over 1.5
36% 13/36
42% 15/36
Conceded over 2.5
8% 3/36
14% 5/36
Clean sheets
22% 8/36
25% 9/36
Streaks
Match Totals
Sassuolo
SAS
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
3.78
4.11
–
Corners conceded
4.89
5.54
–
Match total
8.67
9.66
8.83
Over 8.5
56% 20/36
66% 23/35
–
Over 9.5
44% 16/36
57% 20/35
–
Over 10.5
31% 11/36
40% 14/35
–
Cards
Cards
2.42
1.75
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.69
–
Match total
4.42
3.44
3.88
Over 3.5
64% 23/36
47% 17/36
–
Over 4.5
42% 15/36
31% 11/36
–
Shots
Shots
10.56
9.69
–
Opponent shots
14.28
12.64
–
Match total
24.83
22.33
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.75
2.60
–
Opponent on target
4.86
4.40
–
Match total
8.61
7.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.86
12.56
–
Opponent fouls
12.81
14.36
–
Match total
24.67
26.92
–
Possession
All games
45%
42%
–
Home games
46%
45%
–
Away games
45%
40%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sassuolo
Scored · 44
18%
7%
16%
25%
23%
11%
Conceded · 46
22%
17%
9%
17%
13%
22%
Lecce
Scored · 24
25%
17%
12%
8%
17%
21%
Conceded · 48
4%
19%
12%
19%
29%
17%
41%
Scored first
45%
11%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Sassuolo 14 of 34, Lecce 14 of 31 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%36%39%
Leading 9
Level 13
Trailing 14
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
9 of 9
Led at HT, won
21%
3 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 26
At half-time
19%50%31%
Leading 7
Level 18
Trailing 11
1.08
points per game
At half-time
57%
4 of 7
Led at HT, won
9%
1 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 11
13
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 22 games
2
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 14 games
16
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
