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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
30%
22%
Udinese 48%
Draw 30%
Cremonese 22%
1.2 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
30%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Udinese · at home
Cremonese · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.72
1.11
Goals conceded per game
1.56
0.78x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.64x
0.99x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.21x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Cagliari (A) 0-2 · 9 May 2026
22
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Lazio (H) 1-2 · 4 May 2026
Substitutes
10
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Udinese wins 1
Draws 2
Cremonese wins 0
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
67%
2
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Udinese Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Cremonese Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
L
W
W
W
D
L
W
D
W
L
D
W
1.39
14-8-14
PPG Overall
1.28
6-5-7
PPG at Home
1.50
8-3-7
PPG Away
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
0.80
6-10-19
PPG Overall
0.76
2-7-8
PPG at Home
0.83
4-3-11
PPG Away
Venue form: Udinese at home +54% on points per game vs Cremonese away (1.28 vs 0.83)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Cagliari 0-2 Udinese
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
13
days rest
Cremonese 1-2 Lazio
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
39%
33%
44%
Goals per game
2.53
2.11
2.94
Scored
1.25
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.28
1.11
1.44
Both teams scored
47%
39%
56%
Clean sheets
31%
33%
28%
Failed to score
25%
33%
17%
xG
1.11
1.07
1.16
xGA
1.36
1.13
1.59
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
17%
12%
22%
Goals per game
2.29
2.29
2.28
Scored
0.77
0.82
0.72
Conceded
1.51
1.47
1.56
Both teams scored
43%
53%
33%
Clean sheets
26%
29%
22%
Failed to score
49%
41%
56%
xG
0.91
1.12
0.72
xGA
1.55
1.43
1.67
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Udinese
UDI
Cremonese
CRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
97% 35/36
83% 29/35
90%
–
Over 1.5
72% 26/36
69% 24/35
70%
70%
Over 2.5
47% 17/36
43% 15/35
45%
45%
Over 3.5
22% 8/36
23% 8/35
23%
22%
Over 4.5
8% 3/36
11% 4/35
10%
–
Under 2.5
53% 19/36
57% 20/35
55%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
47% 17/36
43% 15/35
45%
45%
BTTS & win
11% 4/36
9% 3/35
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
36% 13/36
34% 12/35
35%
–
Udinese
UDI
Cremonese
CRE
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 25/36
60% 21/35
65%
–
Over 1.5
25% 9/36
37% 13/35
31%
–
Over 2.5
8% 3/36
9% 3/35
8%
–
BTTS
14% 5/36
6% 2/35
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.72 away
Udinese scored 18 in 18 home games
Cremonese scored 13 in 18 away games
Udinese
UDI
Cremonese
CRE
Scored over 0.5
75% 27/36
51% 18/35
Scored over 1.5
36% 13/36
20% 7/35
Scored over 2.5
14% 5/36
6% 2/35
Failed to score
25% 9/36
49% 17/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.11 at home
1.56 away
Udinese conceded 20 in 18 home games
Cremonese conceded 28 in 18 away games
Udinese
UDI
Cremonese
CRE
Conceded over 0.5
69% 25/36
74% 26/35
Conceded over 1.5
36% 13/36
46% 16/35
Conceded over 2.5
17% 6/36
17% 6/35
Clean sheets
31% 11/36
26% 9/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Udinese
UDI
Cremonese
CRE
League
Corners
Corners won
4.65
3.50
–
Corners conceded
4.74
6.12
–
Match total
9.38
9.62
8.83
Over 8.5
50% 17/34
62% 21/34
–
Over 9.5
41% 14/34
44% 15/34
–
Over 10.5
41% 14/34
29% 10/34
–
Cards
Cards
1.92
1.97
–
Opponent cards
1.72
1.51
–
Match total
3.64
3.49
3.88
Over 3.5
50% 18/36
40% 14/35
–
Over 4.5
31% 11/36
26% 9/35
–
Shots
Shots
11.42
9.11
–
Opponent shots
13.19
15.91
–
Match total
24.61
25.03
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.81
3.42
–
Opponent on target
4.25
5.36
–
Match total
8.06
8.79
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.56
13.71
–
Opponent fouls
11.67
12.91
–
Match total
25.22
26.63
–
Possession
All games
45%
46%
–
Home games
47%
46%
–
Away games
44%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Udinese
Scored · 45
9%
15%
18%
22%
18%
18%
Conceded · 46
13%
13%
13%
22%
15%
24%
Cremonese
Scored · 27
11%
11%
15%
22%
11%
30%
Conceded · 53
17%
13%
21%
17%
17%
15%
49%
Scored first
34%
18%
Goals after 75'
30%
Scored first: Udinese 17 of 35, Cremonese 10 of 29 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%39%28%
Leading 12
Level 14
Trailing 10
1.39
points per game
At half-time
67%
8 of 12
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 192nd 26
At half-time
17%43%40%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 14
0.94
points per game
At half-time
50%
3 of 6
Led at HT, won
7%
1 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 17
8
Points won from losing positions in 20 · 20 games
1
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 10 games
9
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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