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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
93%
Inter 93%
Draw 5%
Verona 2%
3.8 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
80%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Verona · away
2.72
Goals scored per game
0.67
0.83
Goals conceded per game
1.78
2.12x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.59x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.39x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Lazio (A) 0-3 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Juventus (A) 1-1 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
41
70
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
100%
Inter wins 10
Draws 0
Verona wins 0
Goals 25 (2.50 per game)
Goals 4 (0.40 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
60%
6
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 10
Verona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
D
L
W
2.36
27-4-5
PPG Overall
2.44
14-2-2
PPG at Home
2.28
13-2-3
PPG Away
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
0.57
3-11-21
PPG Overall
0.47
1-5-11
PPG at Home
0.67
2-6-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home +264% on points per game vs Verona away (2.44 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Lazio 0-3 Inter
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
14
days rest
Juventus 1-1 Verona
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
75%
78%
72%
Goals per game
3.22
3.56
2.89
Scored
2.36
2.72
2.00
Conceded
0.86
0.83
0.89
Both teams scored
44%
50%
39%
Clean sheets
50%
44%
56%
Failed to score
6%
6%
6%
xG
1.85
2.16
1.54
xGA
0.88
0.74
1.02
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
9%
6%
11%
Goals per game
2.31
2.18
2.44
Scored
0.69
0.71
0.67
Conceded
1.63
1.47
1.78
Both teams scored
49%
47%
50%
Clean sheets
17%
18%
17%
Failed to score
51%
53%
50%
xG
0.92
0.75
1.08
xGA
1.22
0.90
1.51
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 36/36
83% 29/35
91%
–
Over 1.5
83% 30/36
69% 24/35
76%
70%
Over 2.5
56% 20/36
54% 19/35
55%
45%
Over 3.5
36% 13/36
23% 8/35
29%
22%
Over 4.5
22% 8/36
3% 1/35
13%
–
Under 2.5
44% 16/36
46% 16/35
45%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 16/36
49% 17/35
47%
45%
BTTS & win
25% 9/36
9% 3/35
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
39% 14/36
40% 14/35
39%
–
Inter
INT
Verona
VER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
81% 29/36
66% 23/35
73%
–
Over 1.5
39% 14/36
37% 13/35
38%
–
Over 2.5
14% 5/36
6% 2/35
10%
–
BTTS
22% 8/36
23% 8/35
23%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.72 at home
0.67 away
Inter scored 49 in 18 home games
Verona scored 12 in 18 away games
Inter
INT
Verona
VER
Scored over 0.5
94% 34/36
49% 17/35
Scored over 1.5
72% 26/36
17% 6/35
Scored over 2.5
36% 13/36
3% 1/35
Failed to score
6% 2/36
51% 18/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.83 at home
1.78 away
Inter conceded 15 in 18 home games
Verona conceded 32 in 18 away games
Inter
INT
Verona
VER
Conceded over 0.5
50% 18/36
83% 29/35
Conceded over 1.5
25% 9/36
51% 18/35
Conceded over 2.5
8% 3/36
23% 8/35
Clean sheets
50% 18/36
17% 6/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Verona
VER
League
Corners
Corners won
6.22
3.80
–
Corners conceded
2.94
4.83
–
Match total
9.17
8.63
8.83
Over 8.5
58% 21/36
54% 19/35
–
Over 9.5
56% 20/36
37% 13/35
–
Over 10.5
44% 16/36
26% 9/35
–
Cards
Cards
1.67
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.72
1.66
–
Match total
3.39
4.06
3.88
Over 3.5
33% 12/36
54% 19/35
–
Over 4.5
19% 7/36
43% 15/35
–
Shots
Shots
17.11
10.97
–
Opponent shots
8.89
13.29
–
Match total
26.00
24.26
24.38
Shots on target
On target
6.03
3.79
–
Opponent on target
3.32
4.24
–
Match total
9.35
8.03
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.03
15.71
–
Opponent fouls
10.81
9.40
–
Match total
23.83
25.11
–
Possession
All games
60%
41%
–
Home games
59%
44%
–
Away games
60%
38%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 85
14%
12%
16%
16%
18%
24%
Conceded · 31
6%
13%
26%
6%
13%
36%
Verona
Scored · 24
4%
29%
29%
13%
21%
4%
Conceded · 57
14%
10%
18%
12%
14%
32%
83%
Scored first
24%
24%
Goals after 75'
4%
Scored first: Inter 30 of 36, Verona 7 of 29 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
58%28%14%
Leading 21
Level 10
Trailing 5
2.03
points per game
At half-time
86%
18 of 21
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 362nd 49
At half-time
14%54%31%
Leading 5
Level 19
Trailing 11
0.97
points per game
At half-time
40%
2 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 9
6
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 24 games
5
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 33 · 8 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
