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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
27%
63%
Pisa 10%
Draw 27%
Napoli 63%
0.4 – 1.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
23% chance
Most Likely Score
26%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Pisa · at home
Napoli · away
0.50
Goals scored per game
1.22
1.28
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.09x
1.14x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Lecce (H) 1-2 · 1 May 2026
Substitutes
99
35
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Como (A) 0-0 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
0.51
2-12-21
PPG Overall
0.56
2-4-12
PPG at Home
0.47
0-8-9
PPG Away
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.00
21-7-7
PPG Overall
2.35
12-4-1
PPG at Home
1.67
9-3-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Napoli away +198% on points per game vs Pisa at home (1.67 vs 0.56)
Rest & Schedule
16
days rest
Pisa 1-2 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
15
days rest
Como 0-0 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
6%
11%
0%
Goals per game
2.51
1.78
3.29
Scored
0.71
0.50
0.94
Conceded
1.80
1.28
2.35
Both teams scored
43%
33%
53%
Clean sheets
14%
22%
6%
Failed to score
54%
61%
47%
xG
1.03
1.03
1.04
xGA
1.53
1.29
1.79
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
60%
71%
50%
Goals per game
2.43
2.65
2.22
Scored
1.49
1.76
1.22
Conceded
0.94
0.88
1.00
Both teams scored
49%
59%
39%
Clean sheets
37%
35%
39%
Failed to score
23%
18%
28%
xG
1.30
1.18
1.42
xGA
1.01
1.09
0.94
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Pisa
PIS
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 31/35
91% 32/35
90%
–
Over 1.5
63% 22/35
69% 24/35
66%
70%
Over 2.5
49% 17/35
51% 18/35
50%
45%
Over 3.5
34% 12/35
26% 9/35
30%
22%
Over 4.5
9% 3/35
6% 2/35
7%
–
Under 2.5
51% 18/35
49% 17/35
50%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 15/35
49% 17/35
46%
45%
BTTS & win
3% 1/35
31% 11/35
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
34% 12/35
46% 16/35
40%
–
Pisa
PIS
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
54% 19/35
77% 27/35
66%
–
Over 1.5
29% 10/35
29% 10/35
29%
–
Over 2.5
11% 4/35
9% 3/35
10%
–
BTTS
17% 6/35
9% 3/35
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.50 at home
1.22 away
Pisa scored 9 in 18 home games
Napoli scored 22 in 18 away games
Pisa
PIS
Napoli
NAP
Scored over 0.5
46% 16/35
77% 27/35
Scored over 1.5
23% 8/35
51% 18/35
Scored over 2.5
3% 1/35
17% 6/35
Failed to score
54% 19/35
23% 8/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.28 at home
1.00 away
Pisa conceded 23 in 18 home games
Napoli conceded 18 in 18 away games
Pisa
PIS
Napoli
NAP
Conceded over 0.5
86% 30/35
63% 22/35
Conceded over 1.5
51% 18/35
29% 10/35
Conceded over 2.5
23% 8/35
3% 1/35
Clean sheets
14% 5/35
37% 13/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Pisa
PIS
Napoli
NAP
League
Corners
Corners won
3.71
4.91
–
Corners conceded
4.82
3.09
–
Match total
8.53
8.00
8.83
Over 8.5
47% 16/34
34% 11/32
–
Over 9.5
41% 14/34
25% 8/32
–
Over 10.5
29% 10/34
22% 7/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.14
1.37
–
Opponent cards
1.69
1.83
–
Match total
3.83
3.20
3.88
Over 3.5
60% 21/35
37% 13/35
–
Over 4.5
34% 12/35
14% 5/35
–
Shots
Shots
9.97
13.11
–
Opponent shots
14.51
10.37
–
Match total
24.49
23.49
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.41
4.97
–
Opponent on target
4.52
3.03
–
Match total
7.93
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.20
11.46
–
Opponent fouls
11.57
12.14
–
Match total
24.77
23.60
–
Possession
All games
41%
58%
–
Home games
43%
59%
–
Away games
38%
58%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Pisa
Scored · 25
20%
16%
8%
24%
12%
20%
Conceded · 63
11%
6%
22%
16%
18%
27%
Napoli
Scored · 52
21%
12%
19%
19%
12%
17%
Conceded · 33
21%
9%
9%
25%
18%
18%
29%
Scored first
59%
20%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Pisa 9 of 31, Napoli 19 of 32 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
9%57%34%
Leading 3
Level 20
Trailing 12
0.83
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
2 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 14
At half-time
49%29%23%
Leading 17
Level 10
Trailing 8
1.74
points per game
At half-time
94%
16 of 17
Led at HT, won
50%
4 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 272nd 25
5
Points won from losing positions in 26 · 14 games
13
18
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 22 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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