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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
65%
24%
11%
Como 65%
Draw 24%
Parma 11%
1.6 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
36%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
COM · at home
Parma · away
1.89
Goals scored per game
0.67
0.83
Goals conceded per game
1.11
1.47x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.59x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.87x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Napoli (H) 0-0 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 2-0 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
Como wins 1
Draws 2
Parma wins 0
Goals 2 (0.67 per game)
Goals 1 (0.33 per game)
33%
1
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Both Teams Scored
67%
2
of 3
Como Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Parma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
1.77
17-11-7
PPG Overall
1.83
9-6-3
PPG at Home
1.71
8-5-4
PPG Away
L
W
W
D
D
L
W
W
D
D
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
10-12-13
PPG Overall
1.06
4-6-7
PPG at Home
1.33
6-6-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Como at home +38% on points per game vs Parma away (1.83 vs 1.33)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Como 0-0 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
14
days rest
Inter 2-0 Parma
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
49%
50%
47%
Goals per game
2.49
2.72
2.24
Scored
1.69
1.89
1.47
Conceded
0.80
0.83
0.76
Both teams scored
43%
50%
35%
Clean sheets
49%
50%
47%
Failed to score
26%
17%
35%
xG
1.56
1.96
1.13
xGA
0.86
0.85
0.88
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
29%
24%
33%
Goals per game
1.91
2.06
1.78
Scored
0.71
0.76
0.67
Conceded
1.20
1.29
1.11
Both teams scored
40%
47%
33%
Clean sheets
34%
24%
44%
Failed to score
43%
41%
44%
xG
0.84
0.90
0.80
xGA
1.41
1.41
1.40
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Como
COM
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 29/35
83% 29/35
83%
–
Over 1.5
74% 26/35
60% 21/35
67%
70%
Over 2.5
46% 16/35
29% 10/35
37%
45%
Over 3.5
23% 8/35
14% 5/35
19%
22%
Over 4.5
11% 4/35
6% 2/35
9%
–
Under 2.5
54% 19/35
71% 25/35
63%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 15/35
40% 14/35
41%
45%
BTTS & win
17% 6/35
11% 4/35
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
29% 10/35
26% 9/35
27%
–
Como
COM
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 24/35
51% 18/35
60%
–
Over 1.5
29% 10/35
20% 7/35
24%
–
Over 2.5
9% 3/35
3% 1/35
6%
–
BTTS
20% 7/35
14% 5/35
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.89 at home
0.67 away
Como scored 34 in 18 home games
Parma scored 12 in 18 away games
Como
COM
Parma
PAR
Scored over 0.5
74% 26/35
57% 20/35
Scored over 1.5
49% 17/35
14% 5/35
Scored over 2.5
26% 9/35
0% 0/35
Failed to score
26% 9/35
43% 15/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.83 at home
1.11 away
Como conceded 15 in 18 home games
Parma conceded 20 in 18 away games
Como
COM
Parma
PAR
Conceded over 0.5
51% 18/35
66% 23/35
Conceded over 1.5
14% 5/35
34% 12/35
Conceded over 2.5
9% 3/35
11% 4/35
Clean sheets
49% 17/35
34% 12/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Como
COM
Parma
PAR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.97
4.24
–
Corners conceded
3.03
4.79
–
Match total
7.00
9.03
8.83
Over 8.5
25% 8/32
55% 18/33
–
Over 9.5
16% 5/32
39% 13/33
–
Over 10.5
9% 3/32
33% 11/33
–
Cards
Cards
2.29
1.66
–
Opponent cards
2.34
2.06
–
Match total
4.63
3.71
3.88
Over 3.5
71% 25/35
57% 20/35
–
Over 4.5
51% 18/35
34% 12/35
–
Shots
Shots
14.03
10.63
–
Opponent shots
9.00
13.94
–
Match total
23.03
24.57
24.38
Shots on target
On target
4.94
3.10
–
Opponent on target
3.33
4.23
–
Match total
8.27
7.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.20
10.60
–
Opponent fouls
12.11
13.49
–
Match total
25.31
24.09
–
Possession
All games
61%
44%
–
Home games
64%
46%
–
Away games
58%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Como
Scored · 59
19%
12%
13%
12%
20%
24%
Conceded · 28
18%
7%
18%
29%
14%
14%
Parma
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
16%
32%
Conceded · 42
17%
7%
14%
17%
19%
26%
66%
Scored first
41%
24%
Goals after 75'
32%
Scored first: Como 19 of 29, Parma 12 of 29 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
43%43%14%
Leading 15
Level 15
Trailing 5
1.71
points per game
At half-time
73%
11 of 15
Led at HT, won
40%
2 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 262nd 33
At half-time
14%60%26%
Leading 5
Level 21
Trailing 9
1.03
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 15
11
Points won from losing positions in 12 · 18 games
7
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 22 · 13 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
