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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
20%
23%
57%
Torino 20%
Draw 23%
Juventus 57%
1.0 – 1.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
52%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Torino · at home
Juventus · away
1.39
Goals scored per game
1.33
1.50
Goals conceded per game
0.89
1.08x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.19x
1.33x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.69x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 36 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Sassuolo (H) 2-1 · 8 May 2026
Substitutes
79
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Lecce (A) 0-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
60%
Torino wins 0
Draws 4
Juventus wins 6
Goals 7 (0.70 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
50%
5
of 10
Juventus Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
W
L
W
1.22
12-8-16
PPG Overall
1.50
8-3-7
PPG at Home
0.94
4-5-9
PPG Away
W
D
D
W
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
1.89
19-11-6
PPG Overall
2.06
10-7-1
PPG at Home
1.72
9-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus away +15% on points per game vs Torino at home (1.72 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
16
days rest
Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
15
days rest
Lecce 0-1 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
33%
44%
22%
Goals per game
2.78
2.89
2.67
Scored
1.14
1.39
0.89
Conceded
1.64
1.50
1.78
Both teams scored
47%
61%
33%
Clean sheets
33%
28%
39%
Failed to score
31%
17%
44%
xG
1.20
1.40
1.01
xGA
1.37
1.50
1.24
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
53%
56%
50%
Goals per game
2.47
2.72
2.22
Scored
1.64
1.94
1.33
Conceded
0.83
0.78
0.89
Both teams scored
44%
50%
39%
Clean sheets
44%
44%
44%
Failed to score
19%
17%
22%
xG
1.76
2.00
1.51
xGA
0.87
0.81
0.94
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Torino
TOR
Juventus
JUV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 32/36
92% 33/36
90%
–
Over 1.5
72% 26/36
72% 26/36
72%
70%
Over 2.5
61% 22/36
39% 14/36
50%
45%
Over 3.5
28% 10/36
22% 8/36
25%
22%
Over 4.5
19% 7/36
14% 5/36
17%
–
Under 2.5
39% 14/36
61% 22/36
50%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
47% 17/36
44% 16/36
46%
45%
BTTS & win
11% 4/36
17% 6/36
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
47% 17/36
28% 10/36
38%
–
Torino
TOR
Juventus
JUV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
72% 26/36
72% 26/36
72%
–
Over 1.5
36% 13/36
22% 8/36
29%
–
Over 2.5
11% 4/36
8% 3/36
10%
–
BTTS
22% 8/36
14% 5/36
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.39 at home
1.33 away
Torino scored 25 in 18 home games
Juventus scored 24 in 18 away games
Torino
TOR
Juventus
JUV
Scored over 0.5
69% 25/36
81% 29/36
Scored over 1.5
33% 12/36
47% 17/36
Scored over 2.5
8% 3/36
22% 8/36
Failed to score
31% 11/36
19% 7/36
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
0.89 away
Torino conceded 27 in 18 home games
Juventus conceded 16 in 18 away games
Torino
TOR
Juventus
JUV
Conceded over 0.5
67% 24/36
56% 20/36
Conceded over 1.5
56% 20/36
19% 7/36
Conceded over 2.5
22% 8/36
8% 3/36
Clean sheets
33% 12/36
44% 16/36
Streaks
Match Totals
Torino
TOR
Juventus
JUV
League
Corners
Corners won
3.65
5.44
–
Corners conceded
4.79
3.68
–
Match total
8.44
9.12
8.83
Over 8.5
47% 16/34
47% 16/34
–
Over 9.5
38% 13/34
38% 13/34
–
Over 10.5
29% 10/34
26% 9/34
–
Cards
Cards
1.94
1.44
–
Opponent cards
1.44
2.08
–
Match total
3.39
3.53
3.88
Over 3.5
50% 18/36
53% 19/36
–
Over 4.5
22% 8/36
36% 13/36
–
Shots
Shots
11.75
16.28
–
Opponent shots
13.53
10.11
–
Match total
25.28
26.39
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.92
5.94
–
Opponent on target
4.44
2.88
–
Match total
8.36
8.82
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.92
12.08
–
Opponent fouls
10.58
10.11
–
Match total
24.50
22.19
–
Possession
All games
44%
58%
–
Home games
46%
59%
–
Away games
42%
56%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Torino
Scored · 41
10%
17%
12%
17%
17%
27%
Conceded · 59
8%
20%
19%
19%
20%
14%
Juventus
Scored · 59
17%
10%
12%
17%
22%
22%
Conceded · 30
14%
10%
23%
17%
13%
23%
44%
Scored first
64%
27%
Goals after 75'
22%
Scored first: Torino 14 of 32, Juventus 21 of 33 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
19%44%36%
Leading 7
Level 16
Trailing 13
1.03
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
23%
3 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 25
At half-time
39%36%25%
Leading 14
Level 13
Trailing 9
1.53
points per game
At half-time
86%
12 of 14
Led at HT, won
56%
5 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 232nd 36
10
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 13 games
11
10
Points dropped from winning positions in 16 · 22 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
