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11 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
30%
22%
Rayo Vallecano 48%
Draw 30%
Girona 22%
1.2 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
30%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RAY · at home
GIR · away
1.24
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.82
Goals conceded per game
1.53
0.79x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
0.72x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.98x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 34 + 34 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Getafe (A) 0-2 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Mallorca (H) 0-1 · 1 May 2026
12
14
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
40%
60%
Rayo Vallecano wins 2
Draws 3
Girona wins 0
Goals 9 (1.80 per game)
Goals 6 (1.20 per game)
80%
4
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
80%
4
of 5
Both Teams Scored
20%
1
of 5
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheets
20%
1
of 5
Girona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
L
D
D
W
D
1.24
10-12-12
PPG Overall
1.59
6-9-2
PPG at Home
0.88
4-3-10
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
D
L
D
1.12
9-11-14
PPG Overall
1.29
6-4-7
PPG at Home
0.94
3-7-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Rayo Vallecano at home +69% on points per game vs Girona away (1.59 vs 0.94)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
10
days rest
Girona 0-1 Mallorca
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
29%
35%
24%
Goals per game
2.24
2.06
2.41
Scored
1.03
1.24
0.82
Conceded
1.21
0.82
1.59
Both teams scored
41%
53%
29%
Clean sheets
32%
41%
24%
Failed to score
35%
18%
53%
xG
1.32
1.56
1.08
xGA
1.31
1.00
1.61
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
26%
35%
18%
Goals per game
2.56
2.59
2.53
Scored
1.06
1.12
1.00
Conceded
1.50
1.47
1.53
Both teams scored
59%
47%
71%
Clean sheets
18%
29%
6%
Failed to score
26%
29%
24%
xG
1.22
1.20
1.25
xGA
1.52
1.51
1.54
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Girona
GIR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 31/34
97% 33/34
94%
–
Over 1.5
68% 23/34
79% 27/34
74%
79%
Over 2.5
38% 13/34
50% 17/34
44%
51%
Over 3.5
18% 6/34
18% 6/34
18%
26%
Over 4.5
6% 2/34
9% 3/34
7%
–
Under 2.5
62% 21/34
50% 17/34
56%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
41% 14/34
59% 20/34
50%
57%
BTTS & win
6% 2/34
12% 4/34
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
18% 6/34
35% 12/34
26%
–
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Girona
GIR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 24/34
74% 25/34
72%
–
Over 1.5
24% 8/34
18% 6/34
21%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/34
6% 2/34
6%
–
BTTS
12% 4/34
9% 3/34
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.24 at home
1.00 away
Rayo Vallecano scored 21 in 17 home games
Girona scored 17 in 17 away games
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Girona
GIR
Scored over 0.5
65% 22/34
74% 25/34
Scored over 1.5
24% 8/34
26% 9/34
Scored over 2.5
15% 5/34
6% 2/34
Failed to score
35% 12/34
26% 9/34
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.82 at home
1.53 away
Rayo Vallecano conceded 14 in 17 home games
Girona conceded 26 in 17 away games
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Girona
GIR
Conceded over 0.5
68% 23/34
82% 28/34
Conceded over 1.5
26% 9/34
38% 13/34
Conceded over 2.5
21% 7/34
21% 7/34
Clean sheets
32% 11/34
18% 6/34
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
3
Scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Girona
GIR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.82
4.22
–
Corners conceded
4.94
4.88
–
Match total
10.76
9.09
9.65
Over 8.5
76% 26/34
50% 16/32
–
Over 9.5
62% 21/34
41% 13/32
–
Over 10.5
59% 20/34
38% 12/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.97
2.24
–
Opponent cards
2.41
1.91
–
Match total
5.38
4.15
4.62
Over 3.5
79% 27/34
47% 16/34
–
Over 4.5
62% 21/34
32% 11/34
–
Shots
Shots
13.71
10.21
–
Opponent shots
11.97
14.62
–
Match total
25.68
24.82
24.67
Shots on target
On target
4.62
3.94
–
Opponent on target
4.03
4.87
–
Match total
8.65
8.81
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.06
10.44
–
Opponent fouls
11.32
14.65
–
Match total
24.38
25.09
–
Possession
All games
54%
51%
–
Home games
55%
51%
–
Away games
52%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Rayo Vallecano
Scored · 35
6%
12%
31%
11%
17%
23%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
15%
14%
17%
27%
Girona
Scored · 36
14%
14%
17%
3%
22%
30%
Conceded · 51
8%
14%
14%
27%
16%
21%
42%
Scored first
42%
23%
Goals after 75'
31%
Scored first: Rayo Vallecano 13 of 31, Girona 14 of 33 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
26%38%35%
Leading 9
Level 13
Trailing 12
1.18
points per game
At half-time
67%
6 of 9
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 18
At half-time
38%35%26%
Leading 13
Level 12
Trailing 9
1.50
points per game
At half-time
54%
7 of 13
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 20
6
Points won from losing positions in 18 · 21 games
11
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 18 games
20
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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