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13 May 2026-5:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
79%
13%
8%
Villarreal 79%
Draw 13%
Sevilla 8%
2.9 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
10% chance
Most Likely Score
73%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VIL · at home
SEV · away
2.41
Goals scored per game
1.12
0.88
Goals conceded per game
1.88
1.54x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.98x
0.78x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.20x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 34 + 35 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Levante (H) 5-1 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Espanyol (H) 2-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
43%
29%
29%
Villarreal wins 3
Draws 2
Sevilla wins 2
Goals 11 (1.57 per game)
Goals 9 (1.29 per game)
86%
6
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
86%
6
of 7
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 7
Villarreal Clean Sheets
14%
1
of 7
Sevilla Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Points on these 5
26 of 30 · 2.60 per game
9 of 27 · 1.00 per game
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
D
W
L
W
2.00
21-5-8
PPG Overall
2.53
14-1-2
PPG at Home
1.47
7-4-6
PPG Away
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
D
D
1.14
11-7-17
PPG Overall
1.39
7-4-7
PPG at Home
0.88
4-3-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Villarreal at home +188% on points per game vs Sevilla away (2.53 vs 0.88)
Rest & Schedule
11
days rest
Villarreal 5-1 Levante
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
4
days rest
Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
62%
82%
41%
Goals per game
3.03
3.29
2.76
Scored
1.88
2.41
1.35
Conceded
1.15
0.88
1.41
Both teams scored
62%
59%
65%
Clean sheets
24%
29%
18%
Failed to score
15%
12%
18%
xG
1.54
1.82
1.27
xGA
1.16
1.12
1.20
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
31%
39%
24%
Goals per game
2.83
2.67
3.00
Scored
1.23
1.33
1.12
Conceded
1.60
1.33
1.88
Both teams scored
60%
61%
59%
Clean sheets
17%
17%
18%
Failed to score
23%
22%
24%
xG
1.04
1.18
0.88
xGA
1.49
1.26
1.73
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 34/34
100% 35/35
100%
–
Over 1.5
91% 31/34
83% 29/35
87%
79%
Over 2.5
59% 20/34
57% 20/35
58%
51%
Over 3.5
35% 12/34
26% 9/35
31%
26%
Over 4.5
15% 5/34
11% 4/35
13%
–
Under 2.5
41% 14/34
43% 15/35
42%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
62% 21/34
60% 21/35
61%
57%
BTTS & win
38% 13/34
14% 5/35
26%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
53% 18/34
49% 17/35
51%
–
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
79% 27/34
69% 24/35
74%
–
Over 1.5
35% 12/34
34% 12/35
35%
–
Over 2.5
15% 5/34
11% 4/35
13%
–
BTTS
12% 4/34
23% 8/35
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.41 at home
1.12 away
Villarreal scored 41 in 17 home games
Sevilla scored 19 in 17 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Scored over 0.5
85% 29/34
77% 27/35
Scored over 1.5
62% 21/34
34% 12/35
Scored over 2.5
24% 8/34
6% 2/35
Failed to score
15% 5/34
23% 8/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.88 at home
1.88 away
Villarreal conceded 15 in 17 home games
Sevilla conceded 32 in 17 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Conceded over 0.5
76% 26/34
83% 29/35
Conceded over 1.5
29% 10/34
51% 18/35
Conceded over 2.5
6% 2/34
17% 6/35
Clean sheets
24% 8/34
17% 6/35
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
10
Conceded in a row
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
6
Longest win run this season
2
Won in a row
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
League
Corners
Corners won
4.10
4.97
–
Corners conceded
5.07
4.50
–
Match total
9.17
9.47
9.65
Over 8.5
53% 16/30
56% 19/34
–
Over 9.5
47% 14/30
53% 18/34
–
Over 10.5
33% 10/30
35% 12/34
–
Cards
Cards
2.32
2.89
–
Opponent cards
2.21
2.26
–
Match total
4.53
5.14
4.62
Over 3.5
65% 22/34
69% 24/35
–
Over 4.5
47% 16/34
57% 20/35
–
Shots
Shots
12.15
11.34
–
Opponent shots
12.29
10.40
–
Match total
24.44
21.74
24.67
Shots on target
On target
4.74
3.69
–
Opponent on target
3.87
4.44
–
Match total
8.61
8.13
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.00
14.66
–
Opponent fouls
12.24
12.86
–
Match total
24.24
27.51
–
Possession
All games
44%
52%
–
Home games
47%
53%
–
Away games
40%
51%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Villarreal
Scored · 64
12%
16%
22%
19%
16%
15%
Conceded · 39
8%
10%
15%
21%
18%
28%
Sevilla
Scored · 43
12%
12%
16%
18%
14%
28%
Conceded · 56
7%
11%
25%
19%
11%
27%
68%
Scored first
43%
16%
Goals after 75'
28%
Scored first: Villarreal 23 of 34, Sevilla 15 of 35 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
53%24%24%
Leading 18
Level 8
Trailing 8
1.82
points per game
At half-time
89%
16 of 18
Led at HT, won
38%
3 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 322nd 32
At half-time
23%43%34%
Leading 8
Level 15
Trailing 12
1.11
points per game
At half-time
50%
4 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 26
8
Points won from losing positions in 12 · 23 games
10
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 25 · 17 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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