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17 May 2026-5:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
20%
14%
Atletico Madrid 66%
Draw 20%
Girona 14%
2.1 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
55%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atletico Madrid · at home
GIR · away
2.11
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.94
Goals conceded per game
1.53
1.35x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
0.83x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.98x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 34 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Celta Vigo (H) 0-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
37
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Mallorca (H) 0-1 · 1 May 2026
12
14
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
100%
Atletico Madrid wins 5
Draws 0
Girona wins 0
Goals 13 (2.60 per game)
Goals 1 (0.20 per game)
80%
4
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Both Teams Scored
80%
4
of 5
Atletico Madrid Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 5
Girona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
Points on these 5
15 of 30 · 1.50 per game
11 of 27 · 1.22 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
1.80
19-6-10
PPG Overall
2.39
14-1-3
PPG at Home
1.18
5-5-7
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
D
L
D
1.12
9-11-14
PPG Overall
1.29
6-4-7
PPG at Home
0.94
3-7-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Atletico Madrid at home +154% on points per game vs Girona away (2.39 vs 0.94)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Celta Vigo
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
16
days rest
Girona 0-1 Mallorca
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
54%
78%
29%
Goals per game
2.74
3.06
2.41
Scored
1.66
2.11
1.18
Conceded
1.09
0.94
1.24
Both teams scored
51%
50%
53%
Clean sheets
37%
39%
35%
Failed to score
14%
11%
18%
xG
1.53
2.01
1.01
xGA
1.15
0.85
1.47
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
26%
35%
18%
Goals per game
2.56
2.59
2.53
Scored
1.06
1.12
1.00
Conceded
1.50
1.47
1.53
Both teams scored
59%
47%
71%
Clean sheets
18%
29%
6%
Failed to score
26%
29%
24%
xG
1.22
1.20
1.25
xGA
1.52
1.51
1.54
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
97% 34/35
97% 33/34
97%
–
Over 1.5
74% 26/35
79% 27/34
77%
79%
Over 2.5
49% 17/35
50% 17/34
49%
51%
Over 3.5
26% 9/35
18% 6/34
22%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 7/35
9% 3/34
14%
–
Under 2.5
51% 18/35
50% 17/34
51%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
51% 18/35
59% 20/34
55%
57%
BTTS & win
20% 7/35
12% 4/34
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
37% 13/35
35% 12/34
36%
–
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 24/35
74% 25/34
71%
–
Over 1.5
43% 15/35
18% 6/34
30%
–
Over 2.5
9% 3/35
6% 2/34
7%
–
BTTS
31% 11/35
9% 3/34
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.11 at home
1.00 away
Atletico Madrid scored 38 in 18 home games
Girona scored 17 in 17 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
Scored over 0.5
86% 30/35
74% 25/34
Scored over 1.5
46% 16/35
26% 9/34
Scored over 2.5
26% 9/35
6% 2/34
Failed to score
14% 5/35
26% 9/34
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.94 at home
1.53 away
Atletico Madrid conceded 17 in 18 home games
Girona conceded 26 in 17 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
Conceded over 0.5
63% 22/35
82% 28/34
Conceded over 1.5
34% 12/35
38% 13/34
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/35
21% 7/34
Clean sheets
37% 13/35
18% 6/34
Streaks
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Girona
GIR
League
Corners
Corners won
6.26
4.22
–
Corners conceded
4.12
4.88
–
Match total
10.38
9.09
9.65
Over 8.5
74% 25/34
50% 16/32
–
Over 9.5
56% 19/34
41% 13/32
–
Over 10.5
50% 17/34
38% 12/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.23
2.24
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.91
–
Match total
4.23
4.15
4.62
Over 3.5
63% 22/35
47% 16/34
–
Over 4.5
40% 14/35
32% 11/34
–
Shots
Shots
13.23
10.21
–
Opponent shots
10.69
14.62
–
Match total
23.91
24.82
24.67
Shots on target
On target
5.09
3.94
–
Opponent on target
3.58
4.87
–
Match total
8.67
8.81
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.06
10.44
–
Opponent fouls
9.77
14.65
–
Match total
20.83
25.09
–
Possession
All games
54%
51%
–
Home games
55%
51%
–
Away games
53%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atletico Madrid
Scored · 58
21%
10%
14%
14%
17%
24%
Conceded · 38
13%
16%
18%
8%
21%
24%
Girona
Scored · 36
14%
14%
17%
3%
22%
30%
Conceded · 51
8%
14%
14%
27%
16%
21%
79%
Scored first
42%
24%
Goals after 75'
31%
Scored first: Atletico Madrid 27 of 34, Girona 14 of 33 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%60%11%
Leading 10
Level 21
Trailing 4
1.46
points per game
At half-time
70%
7 of 10
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 262nd 32
At half-time
38%35%26%
Leading 13
Level 12
Trailing 9
1.50
points per game
At half-time
54%
7 of 13
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 20
12
Points won from losing positions in 14 · 21 games
11
25
Points dropped from winning positions in 29 · 18 games
20
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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