|
24 May 2026-4:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
47%
23%
30%
Celta Vigo 47%
Draw 23%
Sevilla 30%
1.8 – 1.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
64%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
CEL · at home
SEV · away
1.53
Goals scored per game
1.12
1.47
Goals conceded per game
1.88
0.98x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.98x
1.29x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.20x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 35 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 0-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Espanyol (H) 2-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
29%
43%
29%
Celta Vigo wins 2
Draws 3
Sevilla wins 2
Goals 9 (1.29 per game)
Goals 9 (1.29 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
14%
1
of 7
Celta Vigo Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Sevilla Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
Points on these 5
10 of 30 · 1.00 per game
11 of 27 · 1.22 per game
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
D
L
W
1.43
13-11-11
PPG Overall
1.18
5-5-7
PPG at Home
1.67
8-6-4
PPG Away
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
D
D
1.14
11-7-17
PPG Overall
1.39
7-4-7
PPG at Home
0.88
4-3-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Celta Vigo at home +34% on points per game vs Sevilla away (1.18 vs 0.88)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Celta Vigo
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
15
days rest
Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
37%
29%
44%
Goals per game
2.66
3.00
2.33
Scored
1.40
1.53
1.28
Conceded
1.26
1.47
1.06
Both teams scored
63%
65%
61%
Clean sheets
26%
18%
33%
Failed to score
17%
18%
17%
xG
1.26
1.41
1.13
xGA
1.26
1.20
1.32
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
31%
39%
24%
Goals per game
2.83
2.67
3.00
Scored
1.23
1.33
1.12
Conceded
1.60
1.33
1.88
Both teams scored
60%
61%
59%
Clean sheets
17%
17%
18%
Failed to score
23%
22%
24%
xG
1.04
1.18
0.88
xGA
1.49
1.26
1.73
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 33/35
100% 35/35
97%
–
Over 1.5
80% 28/35
83% 29/35
81%
79%
Over 2.5
46% 16/35
57% 20/35
51%
51%
Over 3.5
23% 8/35
26% 9/35
24%
26%
Over 4.5
14% 5/35
11% 4/35
13%
–
Under 2.5
54% 19/35
43% 15/35
49%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
63% 22/35
60% 21/35
61%
57%
BTTS & win
17% 6/35
14% 5/35
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 14/35
49% 17/35
44%
–
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
66% 23/35
69% 24/35
67%
–
Over 1.5
23% 8/35
34% 12/35
29%
–
Over 2.5
9% 3/35
11% 4/35
10%
–
BTTS
14% 5/35
23% 8/35
19%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.53 at home
1.12 away
Celta Vigo scored 26 in 17 home games
Sevilla scored 19 in 17 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
Scored over 0.5
83% 29/35
77% 27/35
Scored over 1.5
37% 13/35
34% 12/35
Scored over 2.5
17% 6/35
6% 2/35
Failed to score
17% 6/35
23% 8/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.47 at home
1.88 away
Celta Vigo conceded 25 in 17 home games
Sevilla conceded 32 in 17 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
Conceded over 0.5
74% 26/35
83% 29/35
Conceded over 1.5
34% 12/35
51% 18/35
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/35
17% 6/35
Clean sheets
26% 9/35
17% 6/35
Streaks
2
Won in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
2
Won in a row
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Sevilla
SEV
League
Corners
Corners won
4.09
4.97
–
Corners conceded
4.39
4.50
–
Match total
8.48
9.47
9.65
Over 8.5
42% 14/33
56% 19/34
–
Over 9.5
30% 10/33
53% 18/34
–
Over 10.5
27% 9/33
35% 12/34
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.89
–
Opponent cards
2.43
2.26
–
Match total
4.43
5.14
4.62
Over 3.5
60% 21/35
69% 24/35
–
Over 4.5
40% 14/35
57% 20/35
–
Shots
Shots
10.03
11.34
–
Opponent shots
12.17
10.40
–
Match total
22.20
21.74
24.67
Shots on target
On target
3.91
3.69
–
Opponent on target
4.21
4.44
–
Match total
8.12
8.13
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.74
14.66
–
Opponent fouls
12.09
12.86
–
Match total
23.83
27.51
–
Possession
All games
50%
52%
–
Home games
52%
53%
–
Away games
49%
51%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Celta Vigo
Scored · 49
6%
14%
14%
25%
12%
29%
Conceded · 44
16%
7%
23%
11%
20%
23%
Sevilla
Scored · 43
12%
12%
16%
18%
14%
28%
Conceded · 56
7%
11%
25%
19%
11%
27%
52%
Scored first
43%
29%
Goals after 75'
28%
Scored first: Celta Vigo 17 of 33, Sevilla 15 of 35 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
26%40%34%
Leading 9
Level 14
Trailing 12
1.17
points per game
At half-time
44%
4 of 9
Led at HT, won
50%
6 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 32
At half-time
23%43%34%
Leading 8
Level 15
Trailing 12
1.11
points per game
At half-time
50%
4 of 8
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 26
14
Points won from losing positions in 19 · 23 games
10
13
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 17 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
