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24 May 2026-4:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
64%
19%
17%
Mallorca 64%
Draw 19%
Oviedo 17%
2.2 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
63%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MAL · at home
OVI · away
1.59
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.18
Goals conceded per game
2.18
1.01x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
1.04x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.39x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 34 + 34 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-1-2
vs Girona (A) 0-1 · 1 May 2026
Substitutes
28
17
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Betis (A) 3-0 · 3 May 2026
23
Substitutes
27
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
L
W
D
L
L
1.12
10-8-16
PPG Overall
1.71
8-5-4
PPG at Home
0.53
2-3-12
PPG Away
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
L
W
D
L
L
0.82
6-10-18
PPG Overall
1.06
4-6-7
PPG at Home
0.59
2-4-11
PPG Away
Venue form: Mallorca at home +190% on points per game vs Oviedo away (1.71 vs 0.59)
Rest & Schedule
23
days rest
Girona 0-1 Mallorca
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Real Betis 3-0 Oviedo
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
29%
47%
12%
Goals per game
2.74
2.76
2.71
Scored
1.24
1.59
0.88
Conceded
1.50
1.18
1.82
Both teams scored
65%
71%
59%
Clean sheets
15%
18%
12%
Failed to score
24%
12%
35%
xG
1.08
1.36
0.79
xGA
1.65
1.36
1.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
18%
24%
12%
Goals per game
2.35
1.53
3.18
Scored
0.76
0.53
1.00
Conceded
1.59
1.00
2.18
Both teams scored
35%
29%
41%
Clean sheets
26%
47%
6%
Failed to score
50%
47%
53%
xG
0.91
0.78
1.05
xGA
1.53
1.26
1.79
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Mallorca
MAL
Oviedo
OVI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
97% 33/34
88% 30/34
93%
–
Over 1.5
82% 28/34
68% 23/34
75%
79%
Over 2.5
65% 22/34
41% 14/34
53%
51%
Over 3.5
21% 7/34
18% 6/34
19%
26%
Over 4.5
9% 3/34
12% 4/34
10%
–
Under 2.5
35% 12/34
59% 20/34
47%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
65% 22/34
35% 12/34
50%
57%
BTTS & win
18% 6/34
3% 1/34
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 17/34
24% 8/34
37%
–
Mallorca
MAL
Oviedo
OVI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
79% 27/34
68% 23/34
74%
–
Over 1.5
32% 11/34
29% 10/34
31%
–
Over 2.5
15% 5/34
3% 1/34
9%
–
BTTS
21% 7/34
9% 3/34
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.59 at home
1.00 away
Mallorca scored 27 in 17 home games
Oviedo scored 17 in 17 away games
Mallorca
MAL
Oviedo
OVI
Scored over 0.5
76% 26/34
50% 17/34
Scored over 1.5
29% 10/34
18% 6/34
Scored over 2.5
15% 5/34
9% 3/34
Failed to score
24% 8/34
50% 17/34
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.18 at home
2.18 away
Mallorca conceded 20 in 17 home games
Oviedo conceded 37 in 17 away games
Mallorca
MAL
Oviedo
OVI
Conceded over 0.5
85% 29/34
74% 25/34
Conceded over 1.5
50% 17/34
50% 17/34
Conceded over 2.5
15% 5/34
29% 10/34
Clean sheets
15% 5/34
26% 9/34
Streaks
Match Totals
Mallorca
MAL
Oviedo
OVI
League
Corners
Corners won
3.66
3.81
–
Corners conceded
6.63
5.69
–
Match total
10.28
9.50
9.65
Over 8.5
81% 26/32
63% 20/32
–
Over 9.5
63% 20/32
50% 16/32
–
Over 10.5
47% 15/32
41% 13/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.29
2.21
–
Opponent cards
2.32
1.50
–
Match total
4.62
3.71
4.62
Over 3.5
59% 20/34
47% 16/34
–
Over 4.5
47% 16/34
32% 11/34
–
Shots
Shots
10.24
9.88
–
Opponent shots
14.79
14.38
–
Match total
25.03
24.26
24.67
Shots on target
On target
4.03
3.24
–
Opponent on target
4.78
5.73
–
Match total
8.81
8.97
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.74
12.67
–
Opponent fouls
12.21
11.55
–
Match total
23.94
24.21
–
Possession
All games
45%
46%
–
Home games
47%
49%
–
Away games
43%
43%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Mallorca
Scored · 42
10%
12%
19%
7%
26%
26%
Conceded · 51
12%
18%
23%
6%
14%
27%
Oviedo
Scored · 26
8%
8%
31%
19%
15%
19%
Conceded · 54
11%
17%
15%
15%
18%
24%
45%
Scored first
43%
26%
Goals after 75'
19%
Scored first: Mallorca 15 of 33, Oviedo 13 of 30 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
24%32%44%
Leading 8
Level 11
Trailing 15
1.03
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
27%
4 of 15
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 25
At half-time
21%41%38%
Leading 7
Level 14
Trailing 13
1.03
points per game
At half-time
57%
4 of 7
Led at HT, won
15%
2 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
9
Points won from losing positions in 21 · 22 games
6
17
Points dropped from winning positions in 17 · 14 games
19
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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