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10 Oct 2026-4:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
84%
9%
Inter 84%
Draw 9%
Parma 7%
3.8 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
87%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Inter · at home
Parma · all games
4.00
Goals scored per game
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.40
2.70x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.56x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.95x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-1-4-2
vs AS Roma (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
60%
30%
10%
Inter wins 6
Draws 3
Parma wins 1
Goals 18 (1.80 per game)
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Parma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
W
2.60
4-1-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
2.00
1-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter at home 3.00 vs Parma away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
20
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
100%
50%
Goals per game
4.60
6.00
2.50
Scored
3.00
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
2.00
1.00
Both teams scored
80%
100%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.90
2.65
3.27
xGA
1.34
1.53
1.07
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.20
2.00
2.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.68
0.67
0.70
xGA
1.58
1.12
2.28
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
80% 4/5
0% 0/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
30%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.00 at home
Inter scored 12 in 3 home games
Parma scored 1 in 2 away games
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.00 away
Inter conceded 6 in 3 home games
Parma conceded 4 in 2 away games
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Inter
INT
Parma
PAR
League
Corners
Corners won
6.20
3.40
–
Corners conceded
4.20
6.20
–
Match total
10.40
9.60
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.60
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.00
–
Match total
3.60
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
23.20
8.20
–
Opponent shots
11.40
18.40
–
Match total
34.60
26.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.40
2.80
–
Opponent on target
3.80
5.60
–
Match total
11.20
8.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
6.60
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
9.80
16.20
–
Match total
16.40
27.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.60
1.40
–
Opponent offsides
3.60
2.00
–
Match total
5.20
3.40
–
Possession
All games
63%
43%
–
Home games
66%
45%
–
Away games
58%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Inter
Scored · 15
13%
7%
7%
33%
13%
27%
Conceded · 8
25%
25%
13%
25%
0%
12%
Parma
Scored · 4
0%
0%
25%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 7
0%
14%
14%
0%
29%
43%
40%
Scored first
20%
27%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Inter 2 of 5, Parma 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 11
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
7
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 4 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
