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11 Oct 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
32%
34%
34%
Lecce 32%
Draw 34%
Bologna 34%
0.8 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
23%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lecce · all games
Bologna · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.20
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.42x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.81x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Torino (H) 1-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
33%
67%
Lecce wins 0
Draws 3
Bologna wins 6
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
Goals 17 (1.89 per game)
78%
7
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Both Teams Scored
11%
1
of 9
Lecce Clean Sheets
44%
4
of 9
Bologna Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Lecce at home 1.50 vs Bologna away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
22
days rest
Bologna 1-1 Torino
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
1.80
2.33
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.00
0.00
Conceded
1.20
1.33
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
67%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
60%
33%
100%
xG
1.18
1.53
0.67
xGA
0.95
1.13
0.67
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
Lecce scored 3 in 2 home games
Bologna scored 0 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
Scored over 0.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.00 away
Lecce conceded 6 in 2 home games
Bologna conceded 2 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Lecce
LEC
Bologna
BOL
League
Corners
Corners won
3.40
4.20
–
Corners conceded
4.20
6.00
–
Match total
7.60
10.20
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
1.40
–
Opponent cards
0.60
1.80
–
Match total
2.60
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.40
13.40
–
Opponent shots
16.60
11.80
–
Match total
25.00
25.20
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
3.20
–
Opponent on target
7.80
3.40
–
Match total
11.20
6.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
14.60
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
12.80
–
Match total
22.00
27.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
0.80
2.20
–
Opponent offsides
4.80
1.40
–
Match total
5.60
3.60
–
Possession
All games
39%
52%
–
Home games
38%
54%
–
Away games
39%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
Bologna
Scored · 3
34%
0%
0%
33%
0%
33%
Conceded · 6
0%
17%
0%
33%
17%
33%
40%
Scored first
20%
20%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Lecce 2 of 5, Bologna 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 4 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 1 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
