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12 Oct 2026-4:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
77%
16%
Atalanta 77%
Draw 16%
Venezia 7%
2.3 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
56%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Venezia · all games
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.60
0.90x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.56x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.76x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Juventus (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Lazio (H) 0-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
75%
25%
Atalanta wins 3
Draws 1
Venezia wins 0
Goals 9 (2.25 per game)
Goals 1 (0.25 per game)
75%
3
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1
of 4
Both Teams Scored
75%
3
of 4
Atalanta Clean Sheets
25%
1
of 4
Venezia Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
W
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
2.00
2-0-1
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home 2.00 vs Venezia away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
23
days rest
Venezia 0-2 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
40%
67%
0%
Goals per game
2.40
2.33
2.50
Scored
1.00
1.33
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
0%
Failed to score
20%
0%
50%
xG
0.81
0.92
0.65
xGA
1.87
1.69
2.14
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
3.40
3.33
3.50
Scored
0.80
0.67
1.00
Conceded
2.60
2.67
2.50
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
60%
67%
50%
xG
1.48
1.48
1.49
xGA
2.34
2.54
2.06
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.00 away
Atalanta scored 4 in 3 home games
Venezia scored 2 in 2 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.50 away
Atalanta conceded 3 in 3 home games
Venezia conceded 5 in 2 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Venezia
VEN
League
Corners
Corners won
2.80
3.80
–
Corners conceded
5.20
3.20
–
Match total
8.00
7.00
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.00
3.20
–
Opponent cards
0.20
1.40
–
Match total
1.20
4.60
3.26
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
80% 4/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
14.00
–
Opponent shots
19.20
14.40
–
Match total
31.00
28.40
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
4.40
–
Opponent on target
6.20
6.00
–
Match total
9.60
10.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.60
11.60
–
Opponent fouls
10.00
10.40
–
Match total
19.60
22.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
2.40
–
Opponent offsides
3.00
2.20
–
Match total
4.00
4.60
–
Possession
All games
48%
57%
–
Home games
53%
61%
–
Away games
41%
52%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 5
20%
0%
20%
20%
20%
20%
Conceded · 7
0%
29%
0%
14%
14%
43%
Venezia
Scored · 4
0%
25%
0%
0%
50%
25%
Conceded · 13
0%
23%
8%
23%
15%
31%
60%
Scored first
20%
20%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Atalanta 3 of 5, Venezia 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 3
At half-time
60%40%
Leading 0
Level 3
Trailing 2
0.60
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
0
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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