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17 Oct 2026-4:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
12%
15%
73%
Bologna 12%
Draw 15%
Inter 73%
1.1 – 2.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
9% chance
Most Likely Score
75%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Inter · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
3.00
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.11x
0.94x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.08x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Torino (H) 1-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-1-4-2
vs AS Roma (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
20%
50%
Bologna wins 3
Draws 2
Inter wins 5
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 24 (2.40 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Bologna Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
D
L
L
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter away +199% on points per game vs Bologna at home (2.00 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Bologna 1-1 Torino
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
1.80
2.33
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.00
0.00
Conceded
1.20
1.33
1.00
Both teams scored
40%
67%
0%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
60%
33%
100%
xG
1.18
1.53
0.67
xGA
0.95
1.13
0.67
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
100%
50%
Goals per game
4.60
6.00
2.50
Scored
3.00
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
2.00
1.00
Both teams scored
80%
100%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.90
2.65
3.27
xGA
1.34
1.53
1.07
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
82%
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
–
Under 2.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
–
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.50 away
Bologna scored 3 in 3 home games
Inter scored 3 in 2 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Scored over 0.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
Failed to score
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.00 away
Bologna conceded 4 in 3 home games
Inter conceded 2 in 2 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
League
Corners
Corners won
4.20
6.20
–
Corners conceded
6.00
4.20
–
Match total
10.20
10.40
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.40
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.80
2.00
–
Match total
3.20
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
13.40
23.20
–
Opponent shots
11.80
11.40
–
Match total
25.20
34.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.20
7.40
–
Opponent on target
3.40
3.80
–
Match total
6.60
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.60
6.60
–
Opponent fouls
12.80
9.80
–
Match total
27.40
16.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.20
1.60
–
Opponent offsides
1.40
3.60
–
Match total
3.60
5.20
–
Possession
All games
52%
63%
–
Home games
54%
66%
–
Away games
50%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 3
34%
0%
0%
33%
0%
33%
Conceded · 6
0%
17%
0%
33%
17%
33%
Inter
Scored · 15
13%
7%
7%
33%
13%
27%
Conceded · 8
25%
25%
13%
25%
0%
12%
20%
Scored first
40%
33%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Bologna 1 of 5, Inter 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 3 games
7
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 4 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
