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17 Oct 2026-6:45 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
92%
AS Roma 92%
Draw 6%
Genoa 2%
3.6 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
77%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
AS Roma · at home
Genoa · all games
2.67
Goals scored per game
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.80x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.42x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.35x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Inter (H) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Parma (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
60%
20%
20%
AS Roma wins 6
Draws 2
Genoa wins 2
Goals 18 (1.80 per game)
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
AS Roma Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Genoa Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
W
2.60
4-1-0
PPG Overall
2.33
2-1-0
PPG at Home
3.00
2-0-0
PPG Away
Venue form: AS Roma at home 2.33 vs Genoa away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
27
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
67%
100%
Goals per game
3.40
3.67
3.00
Scored
2.80
2.67
3.00
Conceded
0.60
1.00
0.00
Both teams scored
40%
67%
0%
Clean sheets
60%
33%
100%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.56
2.57
2.56
xGA
1.11
1.30
0.83
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.60
3.00
2.00
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
2.00
2.33
1.50
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.89
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.33
1.49
1.08
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
AS Roma
AS
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
AS Roma
AS
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.67 at home
0.50 away
AS Roma scored 8 in 3 home games
Genoa scored 1 in 2 away games
AS Roma
AS
Genoa
GEN
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
100% 5/5
0% 0/5
Scored over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.50 away
AS Roma conceded 3 in 3 home games
Genoa conceded 3 in 2 away games
AS Roma
AS
Genoa
GEN
Conceded over 0.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
AS Roma
AS
Genoa
GEN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.80
5.00
–
Corners conceded
1.80
4.80
–
Match total
7.60
9.80
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.60
1.60
–
Match total
3.20
4.00
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
20.60
11.80
–
Opponent shots
9.20
15.80
–
Match total
29.80
27.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.00
3.00
–
Opponent on target
3.40
4.60
–
Match total
10.40
7.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.00
10.00
–
Opponent fouls
8.80
12.40
–
Match total
21.80
22.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.80
2.40
–
Opponent offsides
1.60
2.00
–
Match total
5.40
4.40
–
Possession
All games
58%
48%
–
Home games
59%
43%
–
Away games
56%
56%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
AS Roma
Scored · 14
14%
22%
14%
14%
7%
29%
Conceded · 3
0%
0%
0%
67%
0%
33%
Genoa
Scored · 3
0%
34%
0%
33%
33%
0%
Conceded · 10
10%
30%
20%
0%
0%
40%
80%
Scored first
20%
29%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: AS Roma 4 of 5, Genoa 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 7
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 0
Level 1
Trailing 4
0.20
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
3
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 5 games
1
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
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