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28 Oct 2026-7:45 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
18%
16%
66%
Monza 18%
Draw 16%
Napoli 66%
1.4 – 2.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
8% chance
Most Likely Score
80%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Monza · all games
Napoli · away
1.60
Goals scored per game
1.67
2.40
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.08x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.17x
1.69x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Sassuolo (H) 2-1 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (A) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings
20%
20%
60%
Monza wins 1
Draws 1
Napoli wins 3
Goals 2 (0.40 per game)
Goals 7 (1.40 per game)
60%
3
of 5
Over 1.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
1
of 5
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0
of 5
Both Teams Scored
40%
2
of 5
Monza Clean Sheets
80%
4
of 5
Napoli Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 5 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
L
L
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
0.33
0-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Monza at home +13% on points per game vs Napoli away (1.50 vs 1.33)
Rest & Schedule
40
days rest
Monza 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
38
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
20%
50%
0%
Goals per game
4.00
4.00
4.00
Scored
1.60
2.00
1.33
Conceded
2.40
2.00
2.67
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.79
1.61
1.91
xGA
1.06
1.23
0.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.60
2.00
3.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
1.67
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.33
Both teams scored
60%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.44
1.29
1.53
xGA
1.40
0.67
1.89
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Monza
MON
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
80%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Monza
MON
Napoli
NAP
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
BTTS
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.67 away
Monza scored 4 in 2 home games
Napoli scored 5 in 3 away games
Monza
MON
Napoli
NAP
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.33 away
Monza conceded 4 in 2 home games
Napoli conceded 4 in 3 away games
Monza
MON
Napoli
NAP
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Monza
MON
Napoli
NAP
League
Corners
Corners won
4.40
5.40
–
Corners conceded
4.20
5.20
–
Match total
8.60
10.60
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.80
0.80
–
Opponent cards
1.40
1.40
–
Match total
3.20
2.20
3.26
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Shots
Shots
14.40
13.80
–
Opponent shots
11.80
16.60
–
Match total
26.20
30.40
29.14
Shots on target
On target
6.00
4.20
–
Opponent on target
4.80
4.40
–
Match total
10.80
8.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.20
9.60
–
Opponent fouls
10.60
8.60
–
Match total
23.80
18.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
4.00
3.20
–
Opponent offsides
0.40
1.00
–
Match total
4.40
4.20
–
Possession
All games
46%
50%
–
Home games
43%
50%
–
Away games
48%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Monza
Scored · 8
0%
25%
25%
13%
25%
12%
Conceded · 12
25%
9%
25%
25%
8%
8%
Napoli
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
0%
17%
17%
33%
0%
33%
40%
Scored first
80%
13%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Monza 2 of 5, Napoli 4 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 2 games
0
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 4 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
