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13 Dec 2026-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
56%
25%
19%
Parma 56%
Draw 25%
Fiorentina 19%
1.6 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
45%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Parma · at home
Fiorentina · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.40
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.62x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
60%
10%
Parma wins 3
Draws 6
Fiorentina wins 1
Goals 9 (0.90 per game)
Goals 7 (0.70 per game)
40%
4
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
60%
6
of 10
Parma Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
L
L
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Overall
1.33
1-1-1
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Fiorentina away +13% on points per game vs Parma at home (1.50 vs 1.33)
Rest & Schedule
84
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
84
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.20
2.00
2.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.68
0.67
0.70
xGA
1.58
1.12
2.28
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Parma
PAR
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
Parma
PAR
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.00 away
Parma scored 3 in 3 home games
Fiorentina scored 4 in 2 away games
Parma
PAR
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
3.00 away
Parma conceded 3 in 3 home games
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 2 away games
Parma
PAR
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
1
Won last game
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Parma
PAR
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
3.40
4.40
–
Corners conceded
6.20
3.80
–
Match total
9.60
8.20
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.80
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.40
–
Match total
3.60
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.20
16.80
–
Opponent shots
18.40
11.80
–
Match total
26.60
28.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
2.80
5.60
–
Opponent on target
5.60
5.20
–
Match total
8.40
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.00
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
16.20
13.00
–
Match total
27.20
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.40
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
1.20
–
Match total
3.40
2.20
–
Possession
All games
43%
43%
–
Home games
45%
47%
–
Away games
39%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Parma
Scored · 4
0%
0%
25%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 7
0%
14%
14%
0%
29%
43%
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
20%
Scored first
20%
50%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Parma 1 of 5, Fiorentina 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 5 games
4
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 2 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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