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20 Dec 2026-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
54%
24%
22%
Sassuolo 54%
Draw 24%
Parma 22%
1.7 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
51%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Sassuolo · all games
Parma · all games
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded per game
1.40
1.22x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.56x
1.27x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.95x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monza (A) 2-1 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
43%
43%
Sassuolo wins 1
Draws 3
Parma wins 3
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
14%
1
of 7
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
43%
3
of 7
Parma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
W
L
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
3.00
2-0-0
PPG at Home
0.33
0-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Sassuolo at home 3.00 vs Parma away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
93
days rest
Monza 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
91
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
100%
0%
Goals per game
3.60
4.00
3.33
Scored
1.80
2.50
1.33
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.73
1.44
1.93
xGA
1.33
1.18
1.42
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.20
2.00
2.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.68
0.67
0.70
xGA
1.58
1.12
2.28
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
70%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
80%
58%
BTTS & win
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
70%
–
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
0.50 away
Sassuolo scored 5 in 2 home games
Parma scored 1 in 2 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.00 away
Sassuolo conceded 3 in 2 home games
Parma conceded 4 in 2 away games
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.60
3.40
–
Corners conceded
6.80
6.20
–
Match total
11.40
9.60
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.40
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.80
2.00
–
Match total
3.20
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
17.20
8.20
–
Opponent shots
15.80
18.40
–
Match total
33.00
26.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.00
2.80
–
Opponent on target
6.00
5.60
–
Match total
13.00
8.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.80
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
11.60
16.20
–
Match total
20.40
27.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
1.40
–
Opponent offsides
0.40
2.00
–
Match total
2.80
3.40
–
Possession
All games
47%
43%
–
Home games
44%
45%
–
Away games
49%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Sassuolo
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
11%
45%
Conceded · 9
11%
0%
11%
22%
22%
34%
Parma
Scored · 4
0%
0%
25%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 7
0%
14%
14%
0%
29%
43%
60%
Scored first
20%
44%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Sassuolo 3 of 5, Parma 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 4 games
1
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
