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23 May 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
24%
23%
53%
Fiorentina 24%
Draw 23%
Monza 53%
1.2 – 1.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Fiorentina · at home
Monza · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.33
2.00
Goals conceded per game
2.67
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.94x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.80x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Sassuolo (H) 2-1 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Fiorentina wins 2
Draws 2
Monza wins 2
Goals 10 (1.67 per game)
Goals 9 (1.50 per game)
83%
5
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
83%
5
of 6
Both Teams Scored
17%
1
of 6
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 6
Monza Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
L
L
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Rest & Schedule
245
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
247
days rest
Monza 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
20%
50%
0%
Goals per game
4.00
4.00
4.00
Scored
1.60
2.00
1.33
Conceded
2.40
2.00
2.67
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.79
1.61
1.91
xGA
1.06
1.23
0.95
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fiorentina
FIO
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
80%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Fiorentina
FIO
Monza
MON
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.33 away
Fiorentina scored 2 in 3 home games
Monza scored 4 in 3 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Monza
MON
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.67 away
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 3 home games
Monza conceded 8 in 3 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Monza
MON
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
1
Won last game
5
Scored all 5 this season
5
Conceded all 5 this season
5
Both teams scored all 5 this season
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Fiorentina
FIO
Monza
MON
League
Corners
Corners won
4.40
4.40
–
Corners conceded
3.80
4.20
–
Match total
8.20
8.60
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.80
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.40
1.40
–
Match total
3.20
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
16.80
14.40
–
Opponent shots
11.80
11.80
–
Match total
28.60
26.20
29.14
Shots on target
On target
5.60
6.00
–
Opponent on target
5.20
4.80
–
Match total
10.80
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.00
13.20
–
Opponent fouls
13.00
10.60
–
Match total
24.00
23.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
4.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.20
0.40
–
Match total
2.20
4.40
–
Possession
All games
43%
46%
–
Home games
47%
43%
–
Away games
38%
48%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
Monza
Scored · 8
0%
25%
25%
13%
25%
12%
Conceded · 12
25%
9%
25%
25%
8%
8%
20%
Scored first
40%
17%
Goals after 75'
13%
Scored first: Fiorentina 1 of 5, Monza 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
4
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
0
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 2 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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