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17 Oct 2026-2:15 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
25%
18%
57%
Villarreal 25%
Draw 18%
Elche 57%
1.8 – 2.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
8% chance
Most Likely Score
81%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VIL · at home
ELC · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
1.75
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.50
1.17x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.31x
1.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.88x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Levante (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Espanyol (A) 1-3 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
67%
33%
Villarreal wins 4
Draws 0
Elche wins 2
Goals 14 (2.33 per game)
Goals 7 (1.17 per game)
83%
5
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
4
of 6
Both Teams Scored
17%
1
of 6
Villarreal Clean Sheets
17%
1
of 6
Elche Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
1.14
2-2-3
PPG Overall
1.00
1-0-2
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
L
D
0.71
1-2-4
PPG Overall
0.00
0-0-3
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Elche away +25% on points per game vs Villarreal at home (1.25 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
27
days rest
Villarreal 3-1 Levante
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
29
days rest
Espanyol 1-3 Elche
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
29%
33%
25%
Goals per game
3.57
4.00
3.25
Scored
1.86
2.00
1.75
Conceded
1.71
2.00
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
100%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.33
2.43
2.25
xGA
1.26
1.59
1.02
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
14%
0%
25%
Goals per game
4.00
5.00
3.25
Scored
1.57
1.33
1.75
Conceded
2.43
3.67
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
33%
0%
xG
1.24
1.32
1.18
xGA
2.01
2.86
1.38
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
93%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
57%
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
36%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
71%
–
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
–
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
–
BTTS
71% 5/7
0% 0/7
36%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.75 away
Villarreal scored 6 in 3 home games
Elche scored 7 in 4 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.50 away
Villarreal conceded 6 in 3 home games
Elche conceded 6 in 4 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
Conceded over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 2.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
Clean sheets
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
Streaks
2
Won in a row
7
Conceded all 7 this season
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
1
Won last game
7
Conceded all 7 this season
5
Scored in a row
5
Both teams scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Villarreal
VIL
Elche
ELC
League
Corners
Corners won
7.29
4.43
–
Corners conceded
3.71
4.29
–
Match total
11.00
8.71
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.71
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.43
1.86
–
Match total
4.14
4.43
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
16.00
11.29
–
Opponent shots
12.86
15.29
–
Match total
28.86
26.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
6.57
5.00
–
Opponent on target
3.71
4.71
–
Match total
10.29
9.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.71
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
12.86
12.43
–
Match total
23.57
26.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.71
1.57
–
Opponent offsides
1.86
3.86
–
Match total
4.57
5.43
–
Possession
All games
62%
50%
–
Home games
62%
54%
–
Away games
62%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Villarreal
Scored · 13
0%
15%
38%
8%
8%
31%
Conceded · 12
9%
8%
50%
8%
0%
25%
Elche
Scored · 11
0%
18%
0%
9%
27%
46%
Conceded · 17
18%
18%
23%
0%
18%
23%
43%
Scored first
29%
31%
Goals after 75'
45%
Scored first: Villarreal 3 of 7, Elche 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 6
At half-time
14%14%71%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 5
0.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 9
5
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
1
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 2 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
