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17 Oct 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
17%
78%
Valencia 5%
Draw 17%
Athletic Club 78%
0.3 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
21% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Valencia · at home
BIL · all games
0.50
Goals scored per game
1.17
2.25
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.29x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
1.69x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 6 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Sociedad (H) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
33
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
29%
57%
Valencia wins 1
Draws 2
Athletic Club wins 4
Goals 4 (0.57 per game)
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
43%
3
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Both Teams Scored
29%
2
of 7
Valencia Clean Sheets
57%
4
of 7
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
0.57
1-1-5
PPG Overall
0.25
0-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Athletic Club away +500% on points per game vs Valencia at home (1.50 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
27
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
0%
33%
Goals per game
2.43
2.75
2.00
Scored
0.57
0.50
0.67
Conceded
1.86
2.25
1.33
Both teams scored
29%
25%
33%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
57%
75%
33%
xG
0.87
0.98
0.72
xGA
1.64
2.03
1.13
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Valencia
VAL
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
83% 5/6
85%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
83% 5/6
63%
77%
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
38%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
17% 1/6
30%
39%
Over 4.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/6
14%
–
Under 2.5
57% 4/7
67% 4/6
62%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
31%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
0% 0/6
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
23%
–
Valencia
VAL
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
43% 3/7
50% 3/6
46%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
23%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.50 at home
1.00 away
Valencia scored 2 in 4 home games
Athletic Club scored 2 in 2 away games
Valencia
VAL
Athletic Club
BIL
Scored over 0.5
43% 3/7
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
14% 1/7
33% 2/6
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/7
17% 1/6
Failed to score
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.25 at home
1.00 away
Valencia conceded 9 in 4 home games
Athletic Club conceded 2 in 2 away games
Valencia
VAL
Athletic Club
BIL
Conceded over 0.5
71% 5/7
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
Conceded over 2.5
43% 3/7
17% 1/6
Clean sheets
29% 2/7
50% 3/6
Streaks
1
Lost last game
2
Scored in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Valencia
VAL
Athletic Club
BIL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.43
6.17
–
Corners conceded
3.71
4.83
–
Match total
8.14
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
14% 1/7
67% 4/6
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.17
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.67
–
Match total
4.00
3.83
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
10.57
15.67
–
Opponent shots
15.29
9.50
–
Match total
25.86
25.17
26.46
Shots on target
On target
2.71
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.71
3.67
–
Match total
7.43
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.57
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
10.71
11.33
–
Match total
21.29
22.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.29
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
2.14
3.67
–
Match total
4.43
5.17
–
Possession
All games
48%
53%
–
Home games
42%
60%
–
Away games
55%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Valencia
Scored · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
16%
23%
0%
15%
0%
46%
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
17%
Scored first
40%
50%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Valencia 1 of 6, Athletic Club 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
0
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
