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25 Oct 2026-8:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
81%
10%
9%
Barcelona 81%
Draw 10%
Real Madrid 9%
4.1 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
4-1
7% chance
Most Likely Score
92%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Barcelona · at home
Real Madrid · away
4.67
Goals scored per game
1.50
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.50
2.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.13x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.88x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sevilla (A) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
57%
43%
Barcelona wins 4
Draws 0
Real Madrid wins 3
Goals 17 (2.43 per game)
Goals 11 (1.57 per game)
100%
7
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Both Teams Scored
29%
2
of 7
Barcelona Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 7
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
3.00
7-0-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
3.00
4-0-0
PPG Away
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
2.14
5-0-2
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Barcelona at home +100% on points per game vs Real Madrid away (3.00 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
36
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
35
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
100%
100%
100%
Goals per game
5.43
6.00
5.00
Scored
4.43
4.67
4.25
Conceded
1.00
1.33
0.75
Both teams scored
57%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
43%
33%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
4.07
4.67
3.63
xGA
1.09
1.15
1.05
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
71%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.71
4.67
3.00
Scored
2.57
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.14
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.64
2.79
2.52
xGA
1.09
0.83
1.28
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Barcelona
BAR
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
93%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
57%
Over 3.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
71%
39%
Over 4.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
58%
BTTS & win
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
57%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Barcelona
BAR
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
71% 5/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
–
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
BTTS
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.67 at home
1.50 away
Barcelona scored 14 in 3 home games
Real Madrid scored 6 in 4 away games
Barcelona
BAR
Real Madrid
REA
Scored over 0.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
100% 7/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 2.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
Failed to score
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.50 away
Barcelona conceded 4 in 3 home games
Real Madrid conceded 6 in 4 away games
Barcelona
BAR
Real Madrid
REA
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
7
Won all 7 this season
7
Scored all 7 this season
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Conceded in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
1
Lost last game
4
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Barcelona
BAR
Real Madrid
REA
League
Corners
Corners won
7.43
6.86
–
Corners conceded
2.57
4.14
–
Match total
10.00
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.14
1.86
–
Opponent cards
1.29
2.86
–
Match total
2.43
4.71
4.42
Over 3.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
21.43
18.86
–
Opponent shots
7.29
12.71
–
Match total
28.71
31.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
8.29
7.57
–
Opponent on target
3.14
4.43
–
Match total
11.43
12.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.57
8.43
–
Opponent fouls
10.14
14.29
–
Match total
19.71
22.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.57
1.86
–
Opponent offsides
3.57
1.14
–
Match total
7.14
3.00
–
Possession
All games
68%
52%
–
Home games
69%
54%
–
Away games
68%
51%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Barcelona
Scored · 31
13%
19%
13%
13%
16%
26%
Conceded · 7
14%
29%
0%
14%
14%
29%
Real Madrid
Scored · 18
11%
28%
17%
6%
5%
33%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
13%
37%
12%
25%
71%
Scored first
71%
26%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Barcelona 5 of 7, Real Madrid 5 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
86%14%
Leading 6
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.71
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 17
At half-time
43%57%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.86
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 8
6
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 2 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 5 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
