|
17 Jan 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
81%
11%
8%
Atletico Madrid 81%
Draw 11%
Real Sociedad 8%
3.3 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
8% chance
Most Likely Score
80%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atletico Madrid · at home
RSO · away
2.50
Goals scored per game
1.75
0.75
Goals conceded per game
2.25
1.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.31x
0.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.32x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Madrid (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Valencia (A) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
56%
44%
Atletico Madrid wins 5
Draws 4
Real Sociedad wins 0
Goals 19 (2.11 per game)
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
100%
9
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
78%
7
of 9
Both Teams Scored
22%
2
of 9
Atletico Madrid Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 9
Real Sociedad Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
2.29
5-1-1
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
L
1.43
3-1-3
PPG Overall
1.33
1-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Atletico Madrid at home +67% on points per game vs Real Sociedad away (2.50 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
119
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
119
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
71%
75%
67%
Goals per game
3.29
3.25
3.33
Scored
2.29
2.50
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.75
1.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
14%
0%
33%
xG
1.72
2.01
1.33
xGA
1.02
1.13
0.86
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
43%
33%
50%
Goals per game
3.14
2.00
4.00
Scored
1.29
0.67
1.75
Conceded
1.86
1.33
2.25
Both teams scored
57%
33%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
43%
67%
25%
xG
1.19
1.05
1.29
xGA
1.66
1.08
2.10
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Real Sociedad
RSO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
93%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
71% 5/7
86%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
21%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Real Sociedad
RSO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
Over 1.5
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
29%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
1.75 away
Atletico Madrid scored 10 in 4 home games
Real Sociedad scored 7 in 4 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Real Sociedad
RSO
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
Scored over 1.5
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 2.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
2.25 away
Atletico Madrid conceded 3 in 4 home games
Real Sociedad conceded 9 in 4 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Real Sociedad
RSO
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
3
Won in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Scored in a row
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Real Sociedad
RSO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
7.29
–
Corners conceded
3.00
4.29
–
Match total
8.00
11.57
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
100% 7/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
86% 6/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.86
2.43
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.86
–
Match total
3.86
5.29
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
86% 6/7
–
Shots
Shots
17.00
13.43
–
Opponent shots
9.71
15.86
–
Match total
26.71
29.29
26.46
Shots on target
On target
6.43
5.14
–
Opponent on target
3.29
6.14
–
Match total
9.71
11.29
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.29
12.43
–
Opponent fouls
11.86
10.14
–
Match total
24.14
22.57
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
1.33
–
Match total
2.86
2.83
–
Possession
All games
57%
49%
–
Home games
59%
52%
–
Away games
55%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atletico Madrid
Scored · 16
6%
13%
6%
25%
13%
37%
Conceded · 7
0%
0%
0%
29%
28%
43%
Real Sociedad
Scored · 9
22%
11%
22%
0%
11%
34%
Conceded · 13
0%
0%
15%
15%
31%
39%
86%
Scored first
50%
38%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Atletico Madrid 6 of 7, Real Sociedad 3 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
0
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
