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7 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
14%
26%
60%
Real Sociedad 14%
Draw 26%
Real Madrid 60%
0.6 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
19% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RSO · at home
Real Madrid · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.50
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.50
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.13x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.88x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Valencia (A) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
11%
11%
78%
Real Sociedad wins 1
Draws 1
Real Madrid wins 7
Goals 6 (0.67 per game)
Goals 20 (2.22 per game)
89%
8
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Both Teams Scored
22%
2
of 9
Real Sociedad Clean Sheets
44%
4
of 9
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
L
1.43
3-1-3
PPG Overall
1.33
1-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
2.14
5-0-2
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Real Madrid away +13% on points per game vs Real Sociedad at home (1.50 vs 1.33)
Rest & Schedule
140
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
140
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
43%
33%
50%
Goals per game
3.14
2.00
4.00
Scored
1.29
0.67
1.75
Conceded
1.86
1.33
2.25
Both teams scored
57%
33%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
43%
67%
25%
xG
1.19
1.05
1.29
xGA
1.66
1.08
2.10
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
71%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.71
4.67
3.00
Scored
2.57
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.14
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.64
2.79
2.52
xGA
1.09
0.83
1.28
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
93%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
77%
Over 2.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
39%
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
–
Under 2.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
58%
BTTS & win
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Real Sociedad
RSO
Real Madrid
REA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
57%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.50 away
Real Sociedad scored 2 in 3 home games
Real Madrid scored 6 in 4 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Real Madrid
REA
Scored over 0.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
Failed to score
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.50 away
Real Sociedad conceded 4 in 3 home games
Real Madrid conceded 6 in 4 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Real Madrid
REA
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
1
Lost last game
4
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Real Madrid
REA
League
Corners
Corners won
7.29
6.86
–
Corners conceded
4.29
4.14
–
Match total
11.57
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
100% 7/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
1.86
–
Opponent cards
2.86
2.86
–
Match total
5.29
4.71
4.42
Over 3.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
13.43
18.86
–
Opponent shots
15.86
12.71
–
Match total
29.29
31.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
5.14
7.57
–
Opponent on target
6.14
4.43
–
Match total
11.29
12.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.43
8.43
–
Opponent fouls
10.14
14.29
–
Match total
22.57
22.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.86
–
Opponent offsides
1.33
1.14
–
Match total
2.83
3.00
–
Possession
All games
49%
52%
–
Home games
52%
54%
–
Away games
47%
51%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Sociedad
Scored · 9
22%
11%
22%
0%
11%
34%
Conceded · 13
0%
0%
15%
15%
31%
39%
Real Madrid
Scored · 18
11%
28%
17%
6%
5%
33%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
13%
37%
12%
25%
50%
Scored first
71%
33%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Real Sociedad 3 of 6, Real Madrid 5 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 4
At half-time
43%57%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.86
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 8
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 2 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 5 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
