|
21 Mar 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
19%
44%
37%
Real Sociedad 19%
Draw 44%
Alaves 37%
0.4 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
35% chance
Most Likely Score
9%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RSO · at home
ALA · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.50x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Valencia (A) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Athletic Club (A) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
27
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
17%
33%
50%
Real Sociedad wins 1
Draws 2
Alaves wins 3
Goals 6 (1.00 per game)
Goals 8 (1.33 per game)
50%
3
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
1
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Both Teams Scored
17%
1
of 6
Real Sociedad Clean Sheets
33%
2
of 6
Alaves Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
L
1.43
3-1-3
PPG Overall
1.33
1-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
W
1.57
3-2-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Real Sociedad at home +99% on points per game vs Alaves away (1.33 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
182
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
183
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
43%
33%
50%
Goals per game
3.14
2.00
4.00
Scored
1.29
0.67
1.75
Conceded
1.86
1.33
2.25
Both teams scored
57%
33%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
43%
67%
25%
xG
1.19
1.05
1.29
xGA
1.66
1.08
2.10
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
43%
75%
0%
Goals per game
2.43
3.00
1.67
Scored
1.57
2.25
0.67
Conceded
0.86
0.75
1.00
Both teams scored
43%
25%
67%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
29%
25%
33%
xG
1.29
1.25
1.34
xGA
1.14
0.98
1.35
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
64%
77%
Over 2.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
39%
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
–
Under 2.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
50%
58%
BTTS & win
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
43%
–
Real Sociedad
RSO
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
50%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
0.67 away
Real Sociedad scored 2 in 3 home games
Alaves scored 2 in 3 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Alaves
ALA
Scored over 0.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
Failed to score
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.00 away
Real Sociedad conceded 4 in 3 home games
Alaves conceded 3 in 3 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Alaves
ALA
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Alaves
ALA
League
Corners
Corners won
7.29
4.29
–
Corners conceded
4.29
5.14
–
Match total
11.57
9.43
9.65
Over 8.5
100% 7/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 9.5
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 10.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.86
2.43
–
Match total
5.29
4.43
4.42
Over 3.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
13.43
12.43
–
Opponent shots
15.86
12.14
–
Match total
29.29
24.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
5.14
4.43
–
Opponent on target
6.14
4.14
–
Match total
11.29
8.57
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.43
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
10.14
13.14
–
Match total
22.57
26.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
3.86
–
Opponent offsides
1.33
1.86
–
Match total
2.83
5.71
–
Possession
All games
49%
42%
–
Home games
52%
42%
–
Away games
47%
42%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Sociedad
Scored · 9
22%
11%
22%
0%
11%
34%
Conceded · 13
0%
0%
15%
15%
31%
39%
Alaves
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
50%
17%
16%
50%
Scored first
67%
33%
Goals after 75'
36%
Scored first: Real Sociedad 3 of 6, Alaves 4 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 4
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 4 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
