|
21 Apr 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
17%
16%
67%
Villarreal 17%
Draw 16%
Atletico Madrid 67%
1.6 – 3.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
7% chance
Most Likely Score
83%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VIL · at home
Atletico Madrid · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
2.00
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.17x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.50x
1.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Levante (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Madrid (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
13%
75%
13%
Villarreal wins 1
Draws 6
Atletico Madrid wins 1
Goals 13 (1.63 per game)
Goals 13 (1.63 per game)
100%
8
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Both Teams Scored
13%
1
of 8
Villarreal Clean Sheets
13%
1
of 8
Atletico Madrid Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D
1.14
2-2-3
PPG Overall
1.00
1-0-2
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
2.29
5-1-1
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Atletico Madrid away +100% on points per game vs Villarreal at home (2.00 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
213
days rest
Villarreal 3-1 Levante
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
213
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
29%
33%
25%
Goals per game
3.57
4.00
3.25
Scored
1.86
2.00
1.75
Conceded
1.71
2.00
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
100%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.33
2.43
2.25
xGA
1.26
1.59
1.02
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
71%
75%
67%
Goals per game
3.29
3.25
3.33
Scored
2.29
2.50
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.75
1.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
14%
0%
33%
xG
1.72
2.01
1.33
xGA
1.02
1.13
0.86
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Villarreal
VIL
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
93%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
57%
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
64%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
64%
–
Villarreal
VIL
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
29% 2/7
57%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
14% 1/7
43%
–
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
–
BTTS
71% 5/7
0% 0/7
36%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.00 away
Villarreal scored 6 in 3 home games
Atletico Madrid scored 6 in 3 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.33 away
Villarreal conceded 6 in 3 home games
Atletico Madrid conceded 4 in 3 away games
Villarreal
VIL
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Conceded over 0.5
100% 7/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Clean sheets
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
2
Won in a row
7
Conceded all 7 this season
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Won in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Villarreal
VIL
Atletico Madrid
ATL
League
Corners
Corners won
7.29
5.00
–
Corners conceded
3.71
3.00
–
Match total
11.00
8.00
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.71
1.86
–
Opponent cards
2.43
2.00
–
Match total
4.14
3.86
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
16.00
17.00
–
Opponent shots
12.86
9.71
–
Match total
28.86
26.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
6.57
6.43
–
Opponent on target
3.71
3.29
–
Match total
10.29
9.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.71
12.29
–
Opponent fouls
12.86
11.86
–
Match total
23.57
24.14
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.71
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
1.86
1.14
–
Match total
4.57
2.86
–
Possession
All games
62%
57%
–
Home games
62%
59%
–
Away games
62%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Villarreal
Scored · 13
0%
15%
38%
8%
8%
31%
Conceded · 12
9%
8%
50%
8%
0%
25%
Atletico Madrid
Scored · 16
6%
13%
6%
25%
13%
37%
Conceded · 7
0%
0%
0%
29%
28%
43%
43%
Scored first
86%
31%
Goals after 75'
38%
Scored first: Villarreal 3 of 7, Atletico Madrid 6 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 6
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
5
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 2 games
1
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 6 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
