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21 Apr 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
85%
9%
Real Madrid 85%
Draw 9%
Elche 6%
3.5 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
9% chance
Most Likely Score
81%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Real Madrid · at home
ELC · away
4.00
Goals scored per game
1.75
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.50
2.34x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.31x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.88x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Espanyol (A) 1-3 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
71%
29%
Real Madrid wins 5
Draws 2
Elche wins 0
Goals 20 (2.86 per game)
Goals 8 (1.14 per game)
100%
7
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
71%
5
of 7
Both Teams Scored
29%
2
of 7
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 7
Elche Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
2.14
5-0-2
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
L
D
0.71
1-2-4
PPG Overall
0.00
0-0-3
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Real Madrid at home +140% on points per game vs Elche away (3.00 vs 1.25)
Rest & Schedule
213
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
215
days rest
Espanyol 1-3 Elche
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
71%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.71
4.67
3.00
Scored
2.57
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.14
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.64
2.79
2.52
xGA
1.09
0.83
1.28
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
14%
0%
25%
Goals per game
4.00
5.00
3.25
Scored
1.57
1.33
1.75
Conceded
2.43
3.67
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
33%
0%
xG
1.24
1.32
1.18
xGA
2.01
2.86
1.38
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Madrid
REA
Elche
ELC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
93%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
57%
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
39%
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
58%
BTTS & win
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
36%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
64%
–
Real Madrid
REA
Elche
ELC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
–
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.00 at home
1.75 away
Real Madrid scored 12 in 3 home games
Elche scored 7 in 4 away games
Real Madrid
REA
Elche
ELC
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
Scored over 1.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
Scored over 2.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.50 away
Real Madrid conceded 2 in 3 home games
Elche conceded 6 in 4 away games
Real Madrid
REA
Elche
ELC
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
57% 4/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Streaks
1
Lost last game
4
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
1
Won last game
7
Conceded all 7 this season
5
Scored in a row
5
Both teams scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Real Madrid
REA
Elche
ELC
League
Corners
Corners won
6.86
4.43
–
Corners conceded
4.14
4.29
–
Match total
11.00
8.71
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.86
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.86
1.86
–
Match total
4.71
4.43
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
18.86
11.29
–
Opponent shots
12.71
15.29
–
Match total
31.57
26.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
7.57
5.00
–
Opponent on target
4.43
4.71
–
Match total
12.00
9.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.43
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
14.29
12.43
–
Match total
22.71
26.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.86
1.57
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
3.86
–
Match total
3.00
5.43
–
Possession
All games
52%
50%
–
Home games
54%
54%
–
Away games
51%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Madrid
Scored · 18
11%
28%
17%
6%
5%
33%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
13%
37%
12%
25%
Elche
Scored · 11
0%
18%
0%
9%
27%
46%
Conceded · 17
18%
18%
23%
0%
18%
23%
71%
Scored first
29%
33%
Goals after 75'
45%
Scored first: Real Madrid 5 of 7, Elche 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
43%57%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.86
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 8
At half-time
14%14%71%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 5
0.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 9
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 2 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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