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2 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
65%
26%
9%
Atletico Madrid 65%
Draw 26%
Alaves 9%
1.5 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
23% chance
Most Likely Score
28%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atletico Madrid · at home
ALA · away
2.50
Goals scored per game
0.67
0.75
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.50x
0.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Madrid (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Athletic Club (A) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
27
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
50%
33%
17%
Atletico Madrid wins 3
Draws 2
Alaves wins 1
Goals 8 (1.33 per game)
Goals 4 (0.67 per game)
50%
3
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
1
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Both Teams Scored
33%
2
of 6
Atletico Madrid Clean Sheets
33%
2
of 6
Alaves Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
2.29
5-1-1
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
W
1.57
3-2-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Atletico Madrid at home +273% on points per game vs Alaves away (2.50 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
224
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
225
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
71%
75%
67%
Goals per game
3.29
3.25
3.33
Scored
2.29
2.50
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.75
1.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
14%
0%
33%
xG
1.72
2.01
1.33
xGA
1.02
1.13
0.86
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
43%
75%
0%
Goals per game
2.43
3.00
1.67
Scored
1.57
2.25
0.67
Conceded
0.86
0.75
1.00
Both teams scored
43%
25%
67%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
29%
25%
33%
xG
1.29
1.25
1.34
xGA
1.14
0.98
1.35
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
86% 6/7
93%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
57% 4/7
79%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
64%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
29%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
57% 4/7
36%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
–
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
–
Over 1.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
0.67 away
Atletico Madrid scored 10 in 4 home games
Alaves scored 2 in 3 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Alaves
ALA
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 1.5
86% 6/7
29% 2/7
Scored over 2.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
1.00 away
Atletico Madrid conceded 3 in 4 home games
Alaves conceded 3 in 3 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Alaves
ALA
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
3
Won in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Alaves
ALA
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.29
–
Corners conceded
3.00
5.14
–
Match total
8.00
9.43
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.86
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.43
–
Match total
3.86
4.43
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
17.00
12.43
–
Opponent shots
9.71
12.14
–
Match total
26.71
24.57
26.46
Shots on target
On target
6.43
4.43
–
Opponent on target
3.29
4.14
–
Match total
9.71
8.57
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.29
13.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.86
13.14
–
Match total
24.14
26.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
3.86
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
1.86
–
Match total
2.86
5.71
–
Possession
All games
57%
42%
–
Home games
59%
42%
–
Away games
55%
42%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atletico Madrid
Scored · 16
6%
13%
6%
25%
13%
37%
Conceded · 7
0%
0%
0%
29%
28%
43%
Alaves
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
50%
17%
16%
86%
Scored first
67%
38%
Goals after 75'
36%
Scored first: Atletico Madrid 6 of 7, Alaves 4 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
1
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 4 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
