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16 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
9%
66%
25%
Malaga 9%
Draw 66%
Celta Vigo 25%
0.1 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
63% chance
Most Likely Score
1%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MAL · at home
CEL · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
0.33
1.33
Goals conceded per game
0.33
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.25x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.19x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Getafe (A) 1-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Racing Santander (H) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
0.43
0-3-4
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
L
D
1.00
1-4-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
1.00
0-3-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Celta Vigo away +49% on points per game vs Malaga at home (1.00 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
238
days rest
Getafe 1-0 Malaga
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
239
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.14
2.00
2.25
Scored
0.43
0.67
0.25
Conceded
1.71
1.33
2.00
Both teams scored
43%
67%
25%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
57%
33%
75%
xG
0.84
1.35
0.45
xGA
1.66
1.75
1.60
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
3.00
0.67
Scored
1.14
1.75
0.33
Conceded
0.86
1.25
0.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
25%
67%
Failed to score
43%
25%
67%
xG
1.01
1.23
0.71
xGA
1.26
1.64
0.76
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Malaga
MAL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
77%
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
57%
Over 3.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
Under 2.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
–
Malaga
MAL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
–
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
14%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
0.33 away
Malaga scored 2 in 3 home games
Celta Vigo scored 1 in 3 away games
Malaga
MAL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Scored over 0.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.33 away
Malaga conceded 4 in 3 home games
Celta Vigo conceded 1 in 3 away games
Malaga
MAL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
7
Without a win all 7 this season
3
Conceded in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Malaga
MAL
Celta Vigo
CEL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.43
3.29
–
Corners conceded
5.29
4.71
–
Match total
10.71
8.00
9.65
Over 8.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.57
1.71
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.57
–
Match total
4.57
4.29
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
10.00
10.29
–
Opponent shots
14.86
12.43
–
Match total
24.86
22.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
2.00
3.71
–
Opponent on target
5.71
4.00
–
Match total
7.71
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.86
10.71
–
Opponent fouls
11.71
13.43
–
Match total
24.57
24.14
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.29
3.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.14
1.43
–
Match total
3.43
4.43
–
Possession
All games
51%
53%
–
Home games
52%
48%
–
Away games
50%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Malaga
Scored · 3
34%
0%
33%
0%
0%
33%
Conceded · 12
0%
34%
25%
0%
8%
33%
Celta Vigo
Scored · 8
13%
0%
38%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 6
0%
50%
0%
17%
17%
16%
17%
Scored first
60%
33%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Malaga 1 of 6, Celta Vigo 3 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 1
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.57
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
2
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 3 games
1
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 3 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
