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9 Oct 2026-6:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
86%
9%
Borussia Dortmund 86%
Draw 9%
Werder Bremen 5%
3.3 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
11% chance
Most Likely Score
75%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Borussia Dortmund · at home
Werder Bremen · away
3.67
Goals scored per game
1.33
0.67
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.63x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.03x
0.51x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.89x
Average: 2.25 home goals and 1.30 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs FC Augsburg (H) 3-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
63%
25%
13%
Borussia Dortmund wins 5
Draws 2
Werder Bremen wins 1
Goals 18 (2.25 per game)
Goals 10 (1.25 per game)
100%
8
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Both Teams Scored
25%
2
of 8
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 8
Werder Bremen Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
0.67
1-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund at home +299% on points per game vs Werder Bremen away (2.67 vs 0.67)
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
20
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
20
days rest
Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
30%
50%
17%
Goals per game
3.40
3.50
3.33
Scored
1.60
2.00
1.33
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
90%
100%
83%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
0%
17%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Werder Bremen
WER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
100% 10/10
100%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
70% 7/10
70% 7/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
90% 9/10
65%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
50%
–
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Werder Bremen
WER
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
40%
–
Over 2.5
30% 3/10
0% 0/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
5%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.67 at home
1.33 away
Borussia Dortmund scored 22 in 6 home games
Werder Bremen scored 8 in 6 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Werder Bremen
WER
Scored over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
80% 8/10
30% 3/10
Scored over 2.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
2.00 away
Borussia Dortmund conceded 4 in 6 home games
Werder Bremen conceded 12 in 6 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Werder Bremen
WER
Conceded over 0.5
40% 4/10
100% 10/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
60% 6/10
0% 0/10
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Werder Bremen
WER
League
Corners
Corners won
6.40
2.90
–
Corners conceded
4.10
7.80
–
Match total
10.50
10.70
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
70% 7/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.80
1.60
–
Match total
3.70
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
19.70
11.80
–
Opponent shots
10.70
15.00
–
Match total
30.40
26.80
31.03
Shots on target
On target
7.10
4.40
–
Opponent on target
3.60
5.50
–
Match total
10.70
9.90
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.90
13.00
–
Opponent fouls
12.20
10.20
–
Match total
22.10
23.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.88
–
Opponent offsides
2.13
1.88
–
Match total
3.63
3.75
–
Possession
All games
56%
45%
–
Home games
58%
43%
–
Away games
54%
47%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
Werder Bremen
Scored · 16
13%
13%
0%
6%
37%
31%
Conceded · 18
5%
11%
11%
17%
17%
39%
67%
Scored first
40%
28%
Goals after 75'
31%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9, Werder Bremen 4 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
At half-time
30%30%40%
Leading 3
Level 3
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
75%
3 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
5
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 8 games
5
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 5 games
6
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Werder Bremen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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