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17 Oct 2026-1:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
70%
20%
10%
Werder Bremen 70%
Draw 20%
SC Paderborn 07 10%
1.9 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
44%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Werder Bremen · at home
SC Paderborn 07 · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.18x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.36x
0.91x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.94x
Average: 1.70 home goals and 1.65 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs FC Augsburg (H) 3-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings
50%
50%
Werder Bremen wins 1
Draws 0
SC Paderborn 07 wins 1
Goals 5 (2.50 per game)
Goals 2 (1.00 per game)
50%
1
of 2
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1
of 2
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1
of 2
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1
of 2
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 2
Werder Bremen Clean Sheets
50%
1
of 2
SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 2 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Points on these 3
3 of 12 · 0.75 per game
1 of 9 · 0.33 per game
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
0.67
1-1-4
PPG Away
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
0.50
1-2-7
PPG Overall
0.60
1-0-4
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Werder Bremen at home +338% on points per game vs SC Paderborn 07 away (1.75 vs 0.40)
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
27
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
30%
50%
17%
Goals per game
3.40
3.50
3.33
Scored
1.60
2.00
1.33
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
90%
100%
83%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
0%
17%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.30
4.40
2.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
2.40
3.20
1.60
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
60%
–
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
5%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
0% 0/10
0%
–
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
0.60 away
Werder Bremen scored 8 in 4 home games
SC Paderborn 07 scored 3 in 5 away games
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.60 away
Werder Bremen conceded 6 in 4 home games
SC Paderborn 07 conceded 8 in 5 away games
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Conceded over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
4
Scored in a row
4
Both teams scored in a row
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Werder Bremen
WER
SC Paderborn 07
SC
League
Corners
Corners won
2.90
4.80
–
Corners conceded
7.80
5.60
–
Match total
10.70
10.40
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.60
1.70
–
Match total
4.00
4.10
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
10.60
–
Opponent shots
15.00
14.70
–
Match total
26.80
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.40
2.90
–
Opponent on target
5.50
6.30
–
Match total
9.90
9.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.00
10.50
–
Opponent fouls
10.20
12.10
–
Match total
23.20
22.60
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.88
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.88
2.20
–
Match total
3.75
3.70
–
Possession
All games
45%
46%
–
Home games
43%
45%
–
Away games
47%
48%
–
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Werder Bremen
Scored · 16
13%
13%
0%
6%
37%
31%
Conceded · 18
5%
11%
11%
17%
17%
39%
SC Paderborn 07
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
45%
11%
Conceded · 24
13%
17%
12%
25%
8%
25%
40%
Scored first
11%
31%
Goals after 75'
11%
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Werder Bremen 4 of 10, SC Paderborn 07 1 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%30%40%
Leading 3
Level 3
Trailing 4
1.20
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
75%
3 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
At half-time
10%20%70%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 7
0.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
5
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 8 games
1
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 1 games
0
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Werder Bremen: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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