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17 Oct 2026-1:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
36%
30%
34%
FC Schalke 04 36%
Draw 30%
FSV Mainz 05 34%
1.0 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
14% chance
Most Likely Score
34%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FC Schalke 04 · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
2.20
0.75
Goals conceded per game
2.20
0.48x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.33x
0.45x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.05x
Average: 2.10 home goals and 1.65 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs SV Elversberg (H) 0-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
50%
38%
13%
FC Schalke 04 wins 4
Draws 3
FSV Mainz 05 wins 1
Goals 9 (1.13 per game)
Goals 8 (1.00 per game)
50%
4
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Both Teams Scored
50%
4
of 8
FC Schalke 04 Clean Sheets
38%
3
of 8
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 2
2 of 9 · 0.67 per game
3 of 9 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
L
D
L
W
W
L
1.20
3-3-4
PPG Overall
1.50
1-3-0
PPG at Home
1.00
2-0-4
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: FC Schalke 04 at home +7% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (1.50 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
27
days rest
FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
30%
25%
33%
Goals per game
3.50
1.75
4.67
Scored
1.20
1.00
1.33
Conceded
2.30
0.75
3.33
Both teams scored
50%
50%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
0%
Failed to score
50%
50%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
78%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
–
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
40% 4/10
70% 7/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.20 away
FC Schalke 04 scored 4 in 4 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
2.20 away
FC Schalke 04 conceded 3 in 4 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
FC Schalke 04
FC
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.80
–
Corners conceded
5.70
4.70
–
Match total
10.70
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.80
2.50
–
Opponent cards
2.20
1.50
–
Match total
4.00
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.60
13.20
–
Opponent shots
16.00
13.70
–
Match total
28.60
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
5.33
4.70
–
Opponent on target
6.33
4.90
–
Match total
11.67
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.40
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
11.10
8.70
–
Match total
20.50
21.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.57
1.71
–
Match total
4.29
3.71
–
Possession
All games
44%
45%
–
Home games
41%
47%
–
Away games
45%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FC Schalke 04
Scored · 12
8%
25%
0%
25%
0%
42%
Conceded · 23
9%
26%
4%
17%
9%
35%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
38%
Scored first
33%
42%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: FC Schalke 04 3 of 8, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%30%50%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 5
0.90
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 8
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
4
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 7 games
6
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (FC Schalke 04: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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