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17 Oct 2026-1:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
11%
84%
Union Berlin 5%
Draw 11%
Borussia Dortmund 84%
0.5 – 2.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
14% chance
Most Likely Score
65%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Union Berlin · at home
Borussia Dortmund · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.72x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.74x
1.39x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.30x
Average: 2.50 home goals and 1.15 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayern Munich (A) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
38%
63%
Union Berlin wins 3
Draws 0
Borussia Dortmund wins 5
Goals 10 (1.25 per game)
Goals 18 (2.25 per game)
100%
8
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Both Teams Scored
13%
1
of 8
Union Berlin Clean Sheets
38%
3
of 8
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Points on these 4
4 of 12 · 1.00 per game
12 of 12 · 3.00 per game
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund away +56% on points per game vs Union Berlin at home (2.50 vs 1.60)
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.60
3.40
3.80
Scored
1.20
1.80
0.60
Conceded
2.40
1.60
3.20
Both teams scored
40%
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
2.00 away
Union Berlin scored 9 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund scored 8 in 4 away games
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Scored over 0.5
60% 6/10
100% 10/10
Scored over 1.5
30% 3/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
Failed to score
40% 4/10
0% 0/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.60 at home
0.75 away
Union Berlin conceded 8 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund conceded 3 in 4 away games
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Conceded over 0.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
50% 5/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Union Berlin
UNI
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.70
6.40
–
Corners conceded
4.40
4.10
–
Match total
9.10
10.50
10.86
Over 8.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.90
–
Opponent cards
2.20
1.80
–
Match total
4.60
3.70
3.64
Over 3.5
90% 9/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.00
19.70
–
Opponent shots
13.30
10.70
–
Match total
25.30
30.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
3.90
7.10
–
Opponent on target
6.00
3.60
–
Match total
9.90
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.90
9.90
–
Opponent fouls
10.80
12.20
–
Match total
22.70
22.10
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.13
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.88
2.13
–
Match total
4.00
3.63
–
Possession
All games
46%
56%
–
Home games
46%
58%
–
Away games
45%
54%
–
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Union Berlin
Scored · 12
17%
0%
25%
8%
0%
50%
Conceded · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
21%
17%
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
44%
Scored first
67%
50%
Goals after 75'
28%
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Union Berlin 4 of 9, Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%40%50%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 5
0.70
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 7
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
1
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 3 games
5
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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