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17 Oct 2026-4:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
76%
15%
9%
Bayern Munich 76%
Draw 15%
RB Leipzig 9%
2.7 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
11% chance
Most Likely Score
68%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayern Munich · at home
RB Leipzig · away
4.20
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.05x
0.84x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.64x
Average: 2.50 home goals and 0.95 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Union Berlin (H) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
50%
10%
Bayern Munich wins 4
Draws 5
RB Leipzig wins 1
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
40%
4
of 10
Bayern Munich Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
RB Leipzig Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
Points on these 2
7 of 9 · 2.33 per game
6 of 9 · 2.00 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
2.20
7-1-2
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Away
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.10
7-0-3
PPG Overall
3.00
5-0-0
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayern Munich at home +100% on points per game vs RB Leipzig away (2.40 vs 1.20)
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
29
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
27
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
80%
60%
Goals per game
3.80
5.00
2.60
Scored
2.80
4.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.80
1.20
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
100%
40%
Goals per game
3.10
3.60
2.60
Scored
2.00
3.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
0.60
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
–
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
5%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.20 at home
1.00 away
Bayern Munich scored 21 in 5 home games
RB Leipzig scored 5 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
1.60 away
Bayern Munich conceded 4 in 5 home games
RB Leipzig conceded 8 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
5
Unbeaten last loss 6 games ago
2
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayern Munich
BAY
RB Leipzig
RB
League
Corners
Corners won
8.70
5.00
–
Corners conceded
2.40
4.67
–
Match total
11.10
9.67
10.86
Over 8.5
90% 9/10
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
33% 3/9
–
Over 10.5
60% 6/10
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
1.90
–
Opponent cards
2.10
2.10
–
Match total
2.90
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.40
18.00
–
Opponent shots
8.00
10.80
–
Match total
26.40
28.80
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.33
6.30
–
Opponent on target
2.67
3.80
–
Match total
9.00
10.10
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.80
10.10
–
Opponent fouls
10.40
12.30
–
Match total
19.20
22.40
–
Possession
All games
68%
57%
–
Home games
66%
56%
–
Away games
70%
58%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayern Munich
Scored · 28
4%
25%
7%
14%
25%
25%
Conceded · 10
0%
0%
0%
10%
40%
50%
RB Leipzig
Scored · 20
5%
25%
0%
5%
25%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
100%
Scored first
50%
25%
Goals after 75'
40%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayern Munich 9 of 9, RB Leipzig 5 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 7
Level 3
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 18
At half-time
40%20%40%
Leading 4
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 of 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 14
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
6
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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