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18 Oct 2026-1:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
47%
24%
29%
Bayer Leverkusen 47%
Draw 24%
SC Freiburg 29%
1.6 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
55%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayer Leverkusen · at home
SC Freiburg · away
2.20
Goals scored per game
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.02x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.56x
0.89x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.74x
Average: 2.15 home goals and 0.90 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
30%
30%
Bayer Leverkusen wins 4
Draws 3
SC Freiburg wins 3
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
Points on these 4
11 of 18 · 1.83 per game
6 of 12 · 1.50 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayer Leverkusen at home +43% on points per game vs SC Freiburg away (2.00 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
29
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.20 at home
1.40 away
Bayer Leverkusen scored 11 in 5 home games
SC Freiburg scored 7 in 5 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
1.60 away
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 4 in 5 home games
SC Freiburg conceded 8 in 5 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
SC Freiburg
SC
League
Corners
Corners won
6.56
5.30
–
Corners conceded
3.56
3.80
–
Match total
10.11
9.10
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
50% 5/10
–
Over 9.5
56% 5/9
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
44% 4/9
30% 3/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.80
1.60
–
Opponent cards
3.20
2.70
–
Match total
6.00
4.30
3.64
Over 3.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 4.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.50
15.70
–
Opponent shots
11.00
10.90
–
Match total
26.50
26.60
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.20
6.50
–
Opponent on target
3.80
3.10
–
Match total
8.00
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.50
10.20
–
Opponent fouls
10.80
14.20
–
Match total
22.30
24.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.25
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
1.38
1.14
–
Match total
2.63
2.86
–
Possession
All games
55%
49%
–
Home games
51%
49%
–
Away games
58%
49%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
56%
Scored first
70%
25%
Goals after 75'
18%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9, SC Freiburg 7 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 4 games
1
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 7 games
3
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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