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25 Oct 2026-2:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
47%
21%
32%
1899 Hoffenheim 47%
Draw 21%
Bayer Leverkusen 32%
2.1 – 1.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
72%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
1899 Hoffenheim · at home
Bayer Leverkusen · away
2.40
Goals scored per game
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.80
1.14x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.83x
1.67x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.86x
Average: 2.10 home goals and 1.20 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs SC Paderborn 07 (A) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
30%
30%
1899 Hoffenheim wins 4
Draws 3
Bayer Leverkusen wins 3
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
1899 Hoffenheim Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Points on these 4
7 of 18 · 1.17 per game
11 of 18 · 1.83 per game
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Overall
1.80
3-0-2
PPG at Home
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
Venue form: 1899 Hoffenheim at home +200% on points per game vs Bayer Leverkusen away (1.80 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
35
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
35
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
3.70
4.40
3.00
Scored
1.70
2.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
2.00
2.00
Both teams scored
90%
100%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
90% 9/10
50% 5/10
70%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
0% 0/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
80% 8/10
40% 4/10
60%
–
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.40 at home
1.00 away
1899 Hoffenheim scored 12 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen scored 5 in 5 away games
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.80 away
1899 Hoffenheim conceded 10 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 9 in 5 away games
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Conceded over 0.5
100% 10/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
Clean sheets
0% 0/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Lost last game
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
8
Scored in a row
8
Both teams scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
1899 Hoffenheim
189
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
League
Corners
Corners won
3.90
6.56
–
Corners conceded
6.00
3.56
–
Match total
9.90
10.11
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
50% 5/10
44% 4/9
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.80
–
Opponent cards
1.50
3.20
–
Match total
3.50
6.00
3.64
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.40
15.50
–
Opponent shots
14.80
11.00
–
Match total
27.20
26.50
31.03
Shots on target
On target
3.50
4.20
–
Opponent on target
4.30
3.80
–
Match total
7.80
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.30
11.50
–
Opponent fouls
10.90
10.80
–
Match total
24.20
22.30
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.57
1.38
–
Match total
3.29
2.63
–
Possession
All games
50%
55%
–
Home games
46%
51%
–
Away games
53%
58%
–
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
1899 Hoffenheim
Scored · 17
12%
12%
23%
12%
18%
23%
Conceded · 20
5%
15%
15%
15%
25%
25%
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
60%
Scored first
56%
24%
Goals after 75'
25%
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: 1899 Hoffenheim 6 of 10, Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%10%40%
Leading 5
Level 1
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
2
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 5 games
4
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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