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28 Nov 2026-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
67%
20%
13%
FSV Mainz 05 67%
Draw 20%
Union Berlin 13%
2.1 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
55%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FSV Mainz 05 · at home
Union Berlin · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
0.60
2.20
Goals conceded per game
3.20
0.65x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.36x
1.33x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.49x
Average: 2.15 home goals and 1.65 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayern Munich (A) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
13%
25%
63%
FSV Mainz 05 wins 1
Draws 2
Union Berlin wins 5
Goals 7 (0.88 per game)
Goals 15 (1.88 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Both Teams Scored
25%
2
of 8
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
25%
2
of 8
Union Berlin Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
Points on these 4
6 of 15 · 1.20 per game
4 of 12 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: FSV Mainz 05 at home +33% on points per game vs Union Berlin away (0.80 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
70
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
71
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.60
3.40
3.80
Scored
1.20
1.80
0.60
Conceded
2.40
1.60
3.20
Both teams scored
40%
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
65%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
Under 2.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
–
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
60%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
0.60 away
FSV Mainz 05 scored 7 in 5 home games
Union Berlin scored 3 in 5 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
Scored over 0.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.20 at home
3.20 away
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 home games
Union Berlin conceded 16 in 5 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 1.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Union Berlin
UNI
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
4.70
–
Corners conceded
4.70
4.40
–
Match total
9.50
9.10
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
–
Over 10.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.50
2.20
–
Match total
4.00
4.60
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
–
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
12.00
–
Opponent shots
13.70
13.30
–
Match total
26.90
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.70
3.90
–
Opponent on target
4.90
6.00
–
Match total
9.60
9.90
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.80
11.90
–
Opponent fouls
8.70
10.80
–
Match total
21.50
22.70
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
2.13
–
Opponent offsides
1.71
1.88
–
Match total
3.71
4.00
–
Possession
All games
45%
46%
–
Home games
47%
46%
–
Away games
44%
45%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
Union Berlin
Scored · 12
17%
0%
25%
8%
0%
50%
Conceded · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
21%
17%
33%
Scored first
44%
33%
Goals after 75'
50%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9, Union Berlin 4 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
At half-time
10%40%50%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 5
0.70
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 7
6
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 6 games
1
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 4 games
2
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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