|
5 Dec 2026-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
92%
Bayern Munich 92%
Draw 6%
SC Paderborn 07 2%
3.3 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
16% chance
Most Likely Score
70%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayern Munich · at home
SC Paderborn 07 · away
4.20
Goals scored per game
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded per game
1.60
2.05x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.40x
0.53x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 2.05 home goals and 1.50 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Union Berlin (H) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings
100%
Bayern Munich wins 2
Draws 0
SC Paderborn 07 wins 0
Goals 6 (3.00 per game)
Goals 4 (2.00 per game)
100%
2
of 2
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2
of 2
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2
of 2
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
2
of 2
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 2
Bayern Munich Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 2
SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 2 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Points on these 4
6 of 12 · 1.50 per game
2 of 12 · 0.50 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
2.20
7-1-2
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Away
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
0.50
1-2-7
PPG Overall
0.60
1-0-4
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayern Munich at home +500% on points per game vs SC Paderborn 07 away (2.40 vs 0.40)
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
78
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
76
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
80%
60%
Goals per game
3.80
5.00
2.60
Scored
2.80
4.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.80
1.20
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.30
4.40
2.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
2.40
3.20
1.60
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
58%
BTTS & win
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
55%
–
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
0% 0/10
0%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.20 at home
Bayern Munich scored 21 in 5 home games
SC Paderborn 07 scored 3 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
70% 7/10
20% 2/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
1.60 away
Bayern Munich conceded 4 in 5 home games
SC Paderborn 07 conceded 8 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
Conceded over 1.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
5
Unbeaten last loss 6 games ago
2
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayern Munich
BAY
SC Paderborn 07
SC
League
Corners
Corners won
8.70
4.80
–
Corners conceded
2.40
5.60
–
Match total
11.10
10.40
10.86
Over 8.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
2.40
–
Opponent cards
2.10
1.70
–
Match total
2.90
4.10
3.64
Over 3.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/10
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.40
10.60
–
Opponent shots
8.00
14.70
–
Match total
26.40
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.33
2.90
–
Opponent on target
2.67
6.30
–
Match total
9.00
9.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.80
10.50
–
Opponent fouls
10.40
12.10
–
Match total
19.20
22.60
–
Possession
All games
68%
46%
–
Home games
66%
45%
–
Away games
70%
48%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayern Munich
Scored · 28
4%
25%
7%
14%
25%
25%
Conceded · 10
0%
0%
0%
10%
40%
50%
SC Paderborn 07
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
45%
11%
Conceded · 24
13%
17%
12%
25%
8%
25%
100%
Scored first
11%
25%
Goals after 75'
11%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayern Munich 9 of 9, SC Paderborn 07 1 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 7
Level 3
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 18
At half-time
10%20%70%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 7
0.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 8 games
1
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 1 games
0
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, SC Paderborn 07: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
