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30 Jan 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
35%
24%
41%
Union Berlin 35%
Draw 24%
Bayer Leverkusen 41%
1.4 – 1.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Union Berlin · at home
Bayer Leverkusen · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded per game
1.80
0.80x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.00x
1.60x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.80x
Average: 2.25 home goals and 1.00 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayern Munich (A) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
11%
44%
44%
Union Berlin wins 1
Draws 4
Bayer Leverkusen wins 4
Goals 7 (0.78 per game)
Goals 18 (2.00 per game)
78%
7
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Both Teams Scored
22%
2
of 9
Union Berlin Clean Sheets
44%
4
of 9
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Points on these 2
3 of 6 · 1.50 per game
2 of 6 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Union Berlin at home +167% on points per game vs Bayer Leverkusen away (1.60 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
134
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
132
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.60
3.40
3.80
Scored
1.20
1.80
0.60
Conceded
2.40
1.60
3.20
Both teams scored
40%
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
–
Over 2.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
1.00 away
Union Berlin scored 9 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen scored 5 in 5 away games
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Scored over 0.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.60 at home
1.80 away
Union Berlin conceded 8 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 9 in 5 away games
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Conceded over 0.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
Clean sheets
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
League
Corners
Corners won
4.70
6.56
–
Corners conceded
4.40
3.56
–
Match total
9.10
10.11
10.86
Over 8.5
60% 6/10
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
40% 4/10
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
44% 4/9
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.80
–
Opponent cards
2.20
3.20
–
Match total
4.60
6.00
3.64
Over 3.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
70% 7/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.00
15.50
–
Opponent shots
13.30
11.00
–
Match total
25.30
26.50
31.03
Shots on target
On target
3.90
4.20
–
Opponent on target
6.00
3.80
–
Match total
9.90
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.90
11.50
–
Opponent fouls
10.80
10.80
–
Match total
22.70
22.30
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.13
1.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.88
1.38
–
Match total
4.00
2.63
–
Possession
All games
46%
55%
–
Home games
46%
51%
–
Away games
45%
58%
–
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Union Berlin
Scored · 12
17%
0%
25%
8%
0%
50%
Conceded · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
21%
17%
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
44%
Scored first
56%
50%
Goals after 75'
25%
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Union Berlin 4 of 9, Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%40%50%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 5
0.70
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 7
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
1
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
2
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 5 games
4
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Union Berlin: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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