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6 Feb 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
95%
SC Paderborn 07 1%
Draw 4%
Borussia Dortmund 95%
0.5 – 4.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-4
12% chance
Most Likely Score
84%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Paderborn 07 · at home
Borussia Dortmund · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
2.00
3.20
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.29x
2.06x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.38x
Average: 1.95 home goals and 1.55 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
67%
SC Paderborn 07 wins 0
Draws 1
Borussia Dortmund wins 2
Goals 4 (1.33 per game)
Goals 12 (4.00 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
SC Paderborn 07 Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Points on these 4
4 of 12 · 1.00 per game
10 of 12 · 2.50 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
0.50
1-2-7
PPG Overall
0.60
1-0-4
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund away +317% on points per game vs SC Paderborn 07 at home (2.50 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
139
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
140
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
10%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.30
4.40
2.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
0.60
Conceded
2.40
3.20
1.60
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
0%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
40%
–
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
5%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.20 at home
2.00 away
SC Paderborn 07 scored 6 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund scored 8 in 4 away games
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Scored over 0.5
60% 6/10
100% 10/10
Scored over 1.5
20% 2/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 2.5
10% 1/10
60% 6/10
Failed to score
40% 4/10
0% 0/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.20 at home
0.75 away
SC Paderborn 07 conceded 16 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund conceded 3 in 4 away games
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Conceded over 0.5
90% 9/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
50% 5/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
10% 1/10
60% 6/10
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Paderborn 07
SC
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
6.40
–
Corners conceded
5.60
4.10
–
Match total
10.40
10.50
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.70
1.80
–
Match total
4.10
3.70
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
10.60
19.70
–
Opponent shots
14.70
10.70
–
Match total
25.30
30.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
2.90
7.10
–
Opponent on target
6.30
3.60
–
Match total
9.20
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.50
9.90
–
Opponent fouls
12.10
12.20
–
Match total
22.60
22.10
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
2.20
2.13
–
Match total
3.70
3.63
–
Possession
All games
46%
56%
–
Home games
45%
58%
–
Away games
48%
54%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Paderborn 07
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
45%
11%
Conceded · 24
13%
17%
12%
25%
8%
25%
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
11%
Scored first
67%
11%
Goals after 75'
28%
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Paderborn 07 1 of 9, Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
10%20%70%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 7
0.50
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
14%
1 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
1
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 3 games
5
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Paderborn 07: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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