|
20 Feb 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
68%
17%
15%
Bayer Leverkusen 68%
Draw 17%
FSV Mainz 05 15%
2.5 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
71%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayer Leverkusen · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
2.20
Goals scored per game
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded per game
2.20
1.16x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.42x
0.52x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.16x
Average: 1.90 home goals and 1.55 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
70%
10%
20%
Bayer Leverkusen wins 7
Draws 1
FSV Mainz 05 wins 2
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
Goals 9 (0.90 per game)
50%
5
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
60%
6
of 10
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 2
2 of 6 · 1.00 per game
3 of 6 · 1.50 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayer Leverkusen at home +43% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (2.00 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
153
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
154
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
90% 9/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
70% 7/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
10% 1/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
–
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.20 at home
2.20 away
Bayer Leverkusen scored 11 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
2.20 away
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 4 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
6.56
4.80
–
Corners conceded
3.56
4.70
–
Match total
10.11
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
56% 5/9
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
44% 4/9
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.80
2.50
–
Opponent cards
3.20
1.50
–
Match total
6.00
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
70% 7/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.50
13.20
–
Opponent shots
11.00
13.70
–
Match total
26.50
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.20
4.70
–
Opponent on target
3.80
4.90
–
Match total
8.00
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.50
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
10.80
8.70
–
Match total
22.30
21.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.25
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.38
1.71
–
Match total
2.63
3.71
–
Possession
All games
55%
45%
–
Home games
51%
47%
–
Away games
58%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
56%
Scored first
33%
25%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 7 games
6
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
