|
27 Feb 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
82%
13%
SC Freiburg 82%
Draw 13%
Bayer Leverkusen 5%
2.5 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
16% chance
Most Likely Score
57%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SC Freiburg · at home
Bayer Leverkusen · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded per game
1.80
1.40x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.11x
0.44x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.84x
Average: 2.15 home goals and 0.90 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
30%
40%
SC Freiburg wins 3
Draws 3
Bayer Leverkusen wins 4
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Points on these 4
6 of 12 · 1.50 per game
11 of 18 · 1.83 per game
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
Venue form: SC Freiburg at home +300% on points per game vs Bayer Leverkusen away (2.40 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
161
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
160
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
58%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.00 away
SC Freiburg scored 15 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen scored 5 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.40 at home
1.80 away
SC Freiburg conceded 2 in 5 home games
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 9 in 5 away games
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Conceded over 0.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
Clean sheets
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
SC Freiburg
SC
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
League
Corners
Corners won
5.30
6.56
–
Corners conceded
3.80
3.56
–
Match total
9.10
10.11
10.86
Over 8.5
50% 5/10
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
30% 3/10
44% 4/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
2.80
–
Opponent cards
2.70
3.20
–
Match total
4.30
6.00
3.64
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 4.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.70
15.50
–
Opponent shots
10.90
11.00
–
Match total
26.60
26.50
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.50
4.20
–
Opponent on target
3.10
3.80
–
Match total
9.60
8.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.20
11.50
–
Opponent fouls
14.20
10.80
–
Match total
24.40
22.30
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
1.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
1.38
–
Match total
2.86
2.63
–
Possession
All games
49%
55%
–
Home games
49%
51%
–
Away games
49%
58%
–
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
70%
Scored first
56%
18%
Goals after 75'
25%
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: SC Freiburg 7 of 10, Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 5 games
2
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 5 games
4
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (SC Freiburg: 4, Bayer Leverkusen: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
