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13 Mar 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
88%
Bayern Munich 88%
Draw 7%
FSV Mainz 05 5%
4.1 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
4-1
7% chance
Most Likely Score
89%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayern Munich · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
4.20
Goals scored per game
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded per game
2.20
1.87x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.33x
0.48x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.98x
Average: 2.25 home goals and 1.65 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Union Berlin (H) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
70%
30%
Bayern Munich wins 7
Draws 0
FSV Mainz 05 wins 3
Goals 33 (3.30 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
100%
10
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
10
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
90%
9
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Bayern Munich Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 2
7 of 9 · 2.33 per game
0 of 6 · 0.00 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
2.20
7-1-2
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Bayern Munich at home +71% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (2.40 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
176
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
175
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
80%
60%
Goals per game
3.80
5.00
2.60
Scored
2.80
4.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.80
1.20
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
60%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
58%
BTTS & win
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
–
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
70% 7/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.20 at home
2.20 away
Bayern Munich scored 21 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
2.20 away
Bayern Munich conceded 4 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
20% 2/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
5
Unbeaten last loss 6 games ago
2
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayern Munich
BAY
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
8.70
4.80
–
Corners conceded
2.40
4.70
–
Match total
11.10
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
2.50
–
Opponent cards
2.10
1.50
–
Match total
2.90
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.40
13.20
–
Opponent shots
8.00
13.70
–
Match total
26.40
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.33
4.70
–
Opponent on target
2.67
4.90
–
Match total
9.00
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.80
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
10.40
8.70
–
Match total
19.20
21.50
–
Possession
All games
68%
45%
–
Home games
66%
47%
–
Away games
70%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayern Munich
Scored · 28
4%
25%
7%
14%
25%
25%
Conceded · 10
0%
0%
0%
10%
40%
50%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
100%
Scored first
33%
25%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayern Munich 9 of 9, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 7
Level 3
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 18
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 7 games
6
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayern Munich: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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